[Torie]

Which is why by the way, I think states should be called by plus of minus the national average percentages. That way, national swings are not predicted. Who can predict those?

[wylenetheconservative]

I think WVA is the best chance for the Rats to pick up a state that they lost in 2000. The gun issue doesn't appear to be in play this time, and WVA is still extremely Democrat. Nevada will be in play in 2008, but I still don't think that Hispanic registration is high enough to put it in play in 2004. If Bush holds serve everywhere else and loses WVA and NH it could also be a tie.