[Dan from Michigan]

Agree for the most part. I have Bush taking Texas, Oklahoma, and Tennessee.

I have the dem taking Wisconsin in a toss up, as well as New Hampshire due to Kerry being a neighbor and New Englander, although New Hampshire is always a tossup.

[raloxk]

Normally I wouldnt agree that NH would go DEM just because the DEM candidate is from neighbouring MA. GHW Bush won alomst 66% of the vote in 1988 in NH.


I can see Bush losing the popular vote and winning the EV again.

[Dan from Michigan]

NEW HAMPSHIRE 2000 BY County - BushVotes - GoreVotes - Nader - Total - Bush% - Gore% - Nader %

Cheshire (Keene) 13793 17382 1750 33308 41% 52% 5%
Strafford (Rochester) 21108 25400 2273 49313 43% 52% 5%
Merrimack (Concord) 30028 30622 2343 63541 47% 48% 4%
Grafton (Woodsvile) 18092 18326 1783 38652 47% 47% 5%
Hillsborough (Manchester) 80649 77625 5465 165367 49% 47% 3%
Rockingham (Portsmouth) 65860 61628 5213 133916 49% 46% 4%
Coos (rural North) 7329 6570 463 14605 50% 45% 3%
Sullivan (Newport) 9304 8224 845 18610 50% 44% 5%
Carroll (Tamworth) 12597 9852 1086 23802 53% 41% 5%
Belknap (Laconia) 14799 10719 977 26721 55% 40% 4%

[Dales]

New Hampshire didn't just reject their neighbor Mike Dukakis, they rejected him in a huge manner. Probably things have changed a bit as some from Massachusettes have migrated away from the taxes and into NH, but how much it has changed is an open question.