[nbenyo]

As recently as 1988 (Bush vs. Dukakis) New Jersey was more Republican than the nation as a whole.
However after 1994 the GOP leadershiop of Gingrich, DeLay, Armey did not play well here. Also the growth in Hispanic population and migration from NYC has magnified the trend.

[raloxk]

I doubt Bush wins NJ. However if you look it isnt that Bush is doing so well in NJ, it is that the DEM is doing so badly. Thus I think it is caused by McGreevey's unpopularity. thus as the election approaches, the DEM will improve in their poll standings, I think