[LdSentinal]

Very nice segments on your part.

My intitial anaylysis is to take all the electoral votes Bob Dole won in 1996 and automatically place it into Bush's count for '04.

159 -- 269 needed to win.

After rapportionment, 6 additional electoral votes went to states that will automatically go for Bush (2 for Georgia; 2 for Texas 1 for North Carolina, and 1 for Colorado.

Subract 3 electoral votes taken from heavy Republican states as Mississippi, Indiana, and Oklahoma.

162 now for Bush.

Add 8 for Kentucky, which has trended heavily to the Republicans and Bush has 170 as a base.

With the recent poll showing Bush leading Kerry by 8% among registered voters, add an additioanl 10 electraol votes to Bush and he has 180 as a electoral base -- 89 are needed to win.

I need to see polls from Lousiana and Tennessee to determine if they are safely in Bush's corner.

[LdSentinal]

With the recent poll showing Bush leading Kerry by 8% among registered voters, add an additioanl 10 electoral votes to Bush and he has 180 as a electoral base -- 89 are needed to win.

That poll was of Arizona which I was speaking about.

[MarkT]

Do not know about TN, but LA will definitely go for Bush despite the embarrassment of our two current senators...