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To: Dales
Hawaii and ND are the easy ones.

Oregon is just a tough state to call. I have to give the dems a slight edge, but it's winnable. Gore only won 8 counties, and only in Multnomah county(Portland) did he get 53% or highter(64%). Gore only broke 50% in 4 other counties.(Lincoln, Lane, Benton, Clatsop), and the others he won with 48 or 49% were Columbia, Hood River, and Washington. Bush won two counties with 48 or 49%. Tillamook and Clackamas. He won the rest with over 50%.

Washington State is like Oregon but tougher and that's because of King County and Seattle. There were over 700,000 votes in King County, only 85,000 less than Wayne County here in Michigan. Gore got 60% in King. Gore won only 10 other counties there, and none of them with more than 53%(San Juan). The two biggest ones are Snohomish and Pierce Counties. In order for the big upset, Bush needs to do very well in the rural areas in the east and hold his own in Snohomish and Pierce.

West VA I have to give a slight edge to the dems based on jobs and past history, but that could change.

6 posted on 02/22/2004 1:01:47 PM PST by Dan from Michigan ("You know it don't come easy, the road of the gypsy" - Iron Eagle)
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To: Dan from Michigan
If you want to do it right, Dan, it's either West Virginia or WV or even West "by God" Virginia. None of this West "VA" stuff. VA doesn't live here anymore. Make no mistake, we are very sensitive to this...even more than being called incestuous. 8^)
27 posted on 02/22/2004 1:59:47 PM PST by GOP_Proud (Those who preach tolerance seem to have the least for my views.)
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To: Dan from Michigan
Oregon is just a tough state to call. I have to give the dems a slight edge, but it's winnable. Gore only won 8 counties, and only in Multnomah county(Portland) did he get 53% or highter(64%). Gore only broke 50% in 4 other counties.(Lincoln, Lane, Benton, Clatsop), and the others he won with 48 or 49% were Columbia, Hood River, and Washington. Bush won two counties with 48 or 49%. Tillamook and Clackamas. He won the rest with over 50%.

Do the counties really matter where you don't know what the population is in each one?

40 posted on 02/22/2004 2:42:59 PM PST by ClintonBeGone (John Kerry is the Democrat's Bob Dole)
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