When are you going to make a surprise call?Don't confuse my measure of how things stand with where I think things will go. Right now, all I am doing is basically establishing a snapshot of things, without minimal prognostication being involved. There is plenty of time for guesswork later.
The dems pick up Nevada, West VA, and NH.
And GOP picking up Michigan(If it's Kerry ).
Toss ups - Nevada, New Mex, Arkansas, Minn, Wisconsin, NH, and West VA.
GOP keeps Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Arizona, Florida Ohio.Dems keep Oregon, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Penn. If I'm 100% right outside of Michigan...we have a tie.