[Torie]

When are you going to make a surprise call? So far, you are playing to safe with the conventional wisdom, and of course assuming a tight election. It might be better to post plus or minus percentages from the national percentage totals. In that regard, I predict Ohio will be in the minus column for Bush, and Minnesota in the plus column. That's my out-of-the-box prediction for the day. New Mexico will be in the plus column for Bush too. New Hampshire will be minus.

[Dales]

When are you going to make a surprise call?

Don't confuse my measure of how things stand with where I think things will go. Right now, all I am doing is basically establishing a snapshot of things, without minimal prognostication being involved. There is plenty of time for guesswork later.

[Dan from Michigan]

Right now I have it at 286-252.

The dems pick up Nevada, West VA, and NH.

And GOP picking up Michigan(If it's Kerry ).

Toss ups - Nevada, New Mex, Arkansas, Minn, Wisconsin, NH, and West VA.

GOP keeps Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Arizona, Florida Ohio.Dems keep Oregon, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Penn. If I'm 100% right outside of Michigan...we have a tie.