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To: homemom
Im here...I stayed home today, I have been fighting this terrible sinus headache today....my eyes hurt so bad, adivl just isn't cutting it.
153 posted on 02/18/2004 6:10:30 PM PST by mystery-ak (*terrorism has been exaggerated*....Kerry....We must defeat him, our lives depend on it.)
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To: All
I posted the following analysis on another thread -- FYI:


CAVEATS:

** Polls in February are notoriously UNRELIABLE predicters of voter behavior in November!

** At this point in the election cycle, many pollsters (and their media purveyors/enablers) are using sampling/timing techniques to SHAPE public opinion rather than reflect it! [If you have any doubts, just note the incredible variance among the polls detailed below!!]


COMPARATIVES:
[Pay particular attention to ZOGBY'S POLL. Why? Because it is the only poll that analyzes the differences between voters in the Red states and voters in the Blue states. Toward this end, ZOGBY'S RESULTS ARE VERY ENCOURAGING; after all, the President holds a healthy lead in the Red states and is statistically tied with Kerry in the Blue states -- We couldn't ask for better polling results at this point in the election cycle!]


APPROVAL RATINGS --

GALLUP
Adults [Most of this poll was completed on 2/16 -- a HOLIDAY]
2/16-17/04 51% approve 46% disapprove
2/09-12/04 51% approve 46% disapprove
[Ratings still above 50%!]
http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2004-02-18-poll.htm

RASMUSSEN
Likely Voters (1,500 // margin of error +/- 3)
2/15-17/04 54% approve (up from 52% 2 days ago)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm

ZOGBY
Likely Voters (1,209 // margin of error +/-2.8)
2/12-15/04
RED STATES: 55% Excellent/Good (which implies an approval rating ABOVE 60%!)
BLUE STATES: 47% Excellent/Good
http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=808


HEAD-TO-HEAD MATCHUPS --

GALLUP
Likely Voters (sample: 568 voters // MOE +/- 4)
2/16-17/04: Bush 43% Kerry 55%
2/16-17/04: Bush 44% Edwards 55%

ZOGBY
Likely Voters (sample: 1,209 voters // MOE +/-2.8)
2/12-15/04:
RED STATES: Bush 51% Kerry 39% (+12)
BLUE STATES: Bush 45% Kerry 46% (-1)
http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=808

RASMUSSEN
Likely Voters (sample: 1,500 voters // MOE +/- 3)
2/15-17/04: Bush 48% Kerry 43% (+5)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT
Registered Voters (sample: 1,121 voters // MOE +/- 2.9)
2/12-16/04: Bush 45% Kerry 46%
(statistical tie)
http://www.news.uconn.edu/rel04017.htm


[WARNING: I believe that FoxNews is set to release poll results similar to Gallup's. AGAIN, at this point in the election cycle, ZOGBY seems to have the most relevant polling sample and results!!!!]



157 posted on 02/18/2004 6:13:38 PM PST by DrDeb
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To: mystery-ak
Have you tried taking 3 at a time? I know that's above the recommended dose, but I do it anyway if I have a bad migraine.

I figure it can't be any worse than the strong stuff some people get from their docs.

Anyway, the extra pill makes a big difference.
165 posted on 02/18/2004 6:20:56 PM PST by altura (Perfect kids are scary. I'm not scared.)
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To: mystery-ak
I'm sorry you're feeling bad . . . have you tried Exedrin for Migranes? It contains aspirin, tylenol (I can never remember the generic name) and caffeine. Works for me as good as my prescriptions.

Feel better!
187 posted on 02/18/2004 6:43:26 PM PST by homemom (Proudly voting for President George W. Bush)
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