To: Fledermaus
Where is Edwards going to get the delegates? He won't last much longer. From the super delegates ... there are enough to maybe swing it his way
That is one to watch out for .. another is who the Clinton go to .. Plus Edwards is broke .. so look for a money trail
Also .. be on the look out for what the Edwards Camp does with hits on Kerry
In Iowa .. it was the Edwards camp that gave the media a copy of the hit fliers on Dean that Kerry was giving out
21 posted on
02/10/2004 9:33:08 PM PST by
Mo1
(" Do you want a president who injects poison into his skull for vanity?")
To: Mo1
Aren't all the super delegates part of the unpledged?
If so, that's only a total of 801. So he'll still need to get another 1,360 from the pledged - the share of the votes in each primary if he can get over 15%.
He'd have to come on strong in Wisconsin, and do well on Super Tuesday with the big votes in GA, OH, MI, NY and CA.
But he's going to have a hard time in VT, CT, MD, MA and RI and possibly NY.
Then on 3/9/04 he'd have to real well in FL, LA and TX followed the next week by KS and IL. Then there's not much until CO on 4/13/04 and PA on 4/27/04 where his "two Americas" might sell to the unionized idiots.
After that it's slim pickings with IN at 67 and AL with 54 and even Puerto Rico with 54...then NJ with 107 on 6/08/04 ending up in NC on 6/20/04 with 90.
I haven't yet, but later tonight when I'm bored or tomorrow I'll run the actual numbers and give you a breakdown based on current state primary polls and do some extrapolation after March 9th if Edwards stays alive, which I dought.
I should at least be able to tell how well he has to do in those states, and more I didn't list like Nebraska and Kentucky and Arkansas and Oregon to gain enough mathematically.
22 posted on
02/10/2004 9:46:38 PM PST by
Fledermaus
(Democrats are just not capable of defending our nation's security. It's that simple!)
To: Mo1
Typo: Puerto Rico has 51 pledged delegates.
23 posted on
02/10/2004 9:47:45 PM PST by
Fledermaus
(Democrats are just not capable of defending our nation's security. It's that simple!)
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