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To: AmishDude
Great post ( #24)

Do you know the impact of the shift in electoral votes from the last census? Bush states gained some electoral votes. Gore states lost some.
108 posted on 02/10/2004 5:16:22 PM PST by edwin hubble
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To: edwin hubble
Bush states pick up 7 electoral votes, meaning Gore states lose 7. This is yet another hurdle for the Dems this cycle.
111 posted on 02/10/2004 5:26:56 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: AmishDude
Shift in population - shift toward Republican states:

Reapportionment of congressional districts means every representative gained or lost in each state is also a vote in the Electoral College gained or lost in that state.

Of the states carried by Al Gore in the 2000 presidential election, New York and Pennsylvania will lose two of their Electors; Connecticut, Illinois, Michigan, and Wisconsin will lose one each. Only California gains an Elector, making a net loss of seven Electors.

But.. Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, and Oklahoma among the states carried by George W. Bush lose Electors, Colorado, Nevada and North Carolina gain one each, while Arizona, Florida, Georgia, and Texas gain two Electors apiece, a net gain of seven Electors.

Accordingly, if Bush had won exactly the same states on 2000 census figures, he would have beaten Gore by 278 to 260 votes in the Electoral College, a majority of eighteen votes.
(from THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE AND AMERICAN POLITICS.(Statistical Data Included)

http://www.findarticles.com/cf_dls/m2242/1625_278/76737773/p1/article.jhtml
112 posted on 02/10/2004 5:26:57 PM PST by edwin hubble
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To: edwin hubble
I believe the shift in EVs is taken into account by the map at Edwards' website.
126 posted on 02/11/2004 8:59:00 AM PST by AmishDude
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