[smith288]

This is very bad for Bush to be only at 41%. It suggest on election day he will lose MN by more than 10 points

Nah, it just means you A: take this poll too seriously and B: dont fully understand the Bush campaign.

Minn is liberal. Once a Dem is nominated to run, Bush will then utilize the HUGE warchest in states like Minn. If Bush is pulling these numbers without trying (short of governing the US) then this is a good number (if you want to take this poll seriously)

[lsmith1990]

Any incumbent at 41% is in trouble.

MN is not such a liberal state you need to get out of the 1970s and 80s. A dem hasnt won the Governorship there since 1986. In 1998 the DEM candidate for gov got 28% of the vote and in 2002 in the 3 way race the GOP got 46%. It is tn the state of HHH and Mondale anymore.

Bush is actually 5 points under his 2000 vote percent.