I think Dean will be close to Kerry. An outside chance he could even win it.
New Hampshire knows Kerry, many of its residents fled MA to escape the kind of politics that Kerry and Kennedy represent. And Kerry has a pretty repulsive history.
I don't think most people know it but Dean is actually far less of an America-hater than Kerry is. Kerry really is the French candidate for president.
I don't think Lieberman breaks 10% in NH. I think Clark has cracked up. Clark and Lieberman and Kucinich fade to obscurity after NH.
I see Kerry and Dean at the top with no big runaway by whichever wins. Then Edwards, maybe as high as 20%. The rest of them will be under 15%, I think.
Zogby says Dean has caught Kerry.
Dean back in dead heat with Kerry
It sounds like a crazy poll but we have learned not to doubt Zogby over the years.
I hope you're right, Dean is unelectable. OTOH, I think all of the candidates are unelectable. The only ticket that (some say) gives the Democretins a chance is Kerry/Edwards. Or Dean/Clark. The trouble comes from the extreme factionalism in the party. This may be due to the behind the scenes machinations of the Clinton Gang to try to put Hillary into the White House. The ONLY thing the Democritics have to keep them from flying apart is Bush Hatred. They've not been in this bad shape since they lost a squeaker (about 100,000 votes nationwide) in 1968 and had Nixon Hatred to unify them. They lost 49 out of 50 states in 1972. Only George Washington has won all the Electoral College votes.
declared winner
Howard Dean