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Unlike Germany, or like it for that matter, the vote for president is really 50 separate elections, not one national election, except they all take place on the same day. Bush is leading in all the states he won in 2000, and because of our constitutionally-mandated census every ten years, in which congressional seats are reapportioned, those same states Bush won in 2000 have even more electoral votes, and those that Gore won have less. If nothing changes, and the popular vote is split just like in 2000, Bush will win more electoral votes than he did in 2000. I think, after 9/11, things have indeed changed, and I don't think Bush will lose, but rather win big.

Actually, we have a similar system as well- people do not vote for the Chancellor. We vote for our parliament which elects the Chancellor. As if the people who vote for the president were members of Congress...

Well, we´ll see wether you´re right. But it sounds as if the campaign will be interesting...