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To: Devil_Anse
"he revealed that he had been hired by Condit and had been working for Condit DURING SOME OF THE TIME when he had been on TV arguing Condit's case."

I did follow that case - I forgot this little tidbit about Geragos, though. He definately should have been upfront about his representation of Condit before commenting.

"I believe that Jo Ellen D. can do no more than make educated guesses, similar to what that prosecutor did."

You raise an interesting point. About 10 years ago when I was in grad school we briefly discussed jury selection in one of my social psychology seminars. At that time there was virtually no science to back it up. We can predict human behavior for individuals fairly accurately in a variety of contexts (e.g., personnel selection). However, the problem with juries is that you are trying to predict how the personality and life experiences of 12 people will interact to produce a decision. I know that there has been research since then but I haven't followed it. I think JoEllen's model focuses on the personal experiences of the jury, which goes beyond demographics. This probably worked for her in the OJ trial where she could find jurors who had bad experiences with LE. She did (I think) admit last night that what she does is at least somewhat artistic, as opposed to scientific. She has "gut feelings" about people that sometimes affect her decisions. I wish I could make that much money using my intuition!


108 posted on 01/24/2004 8:26:04 AM PST by drjulie
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To: drjulie
I guess the bottom line is, I'm not TOO worried if Jo Ellen Demetrius is working for Scott's defense. There are just so many different factors at work--not the least of which would be the group dynamics, as you pointed out--for every prediction of juror behavior to be accurate.

One thing that makes me wonder, though: if the defense is running out of money, where is the money coming from to pay Jo Ellen D.? I mean, presumably her work on the case is still to come. Unless we want to count her public appearances, and frankly, I don't think those are necessarily on behalf of Scott; I think her public appearances are probably just the self-advertising which is necessary for these experts.
110 posted on 01/24/2004 8:42:08 AM PST by Devil_Anse
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