[Zack Nguyen]

Zogby was spot-on in 2000 and 1996, the only pollster to be correct.

As for his Dec. '03 predictions on Iowa, they may very well have been accurate. That was just as Dean wasbeginning his catastrophic collapse. So I wouldn't necessarily say that those numbers were inaccurate.

[Naspino]

As for his Dec. '03 predictions on Iowa, they may very well have been accurate. That was just as Dean wasbeginning his catastrophic collapse. So I wouldn't necessarily say that those numbers were inaccurate.

If those numbers were accurate 30 days before the results get entirely flip-flopped then Zogby's numbers 11 months before the election are entirely irrelevant.

[pgkdan]

As for his Dec. '03 predictions on Iowa, they may very well have been accurate.

You're right. The causcus set up prevents reliable polling. Even Fox's entrace polling seemed way off. That's because people are politicked hard and heavy AT the caucus. If your guy doesn't hit the 15% threshold you have to causcus for someone else or go home.