Earlier today, I posted my predictions for the Iowa Caucuses here
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1060073/posts?page=22#22. I still stand by them.
Basically, I say that the percentage of delegates elected tonight at the Iowa Caucuses will be as follows:
1. Dean 31%
2. Gephardt 29%
3. Edwards 20%
4. Kerry 19%
So it'll be bye-bye Gephardt and Kerry. Edwards will stick around, with SC being a must-win for him. Gephardt's departure will benefit Edwards in SC, since he should be able to get many of Gephardt's labor supporters, as well as blacks who are smart enough to stay away from Al Sharpton (Gephardt has the inside track on those voters because of Congressman Clyburn's endorsement, but if Dick's gone I think they'll go for Edwards).
as long as Dean finishes first, I don't care how the others stack up -- if Gephardt is third or fourth, he's toast and will quit the race. The others can all move on to NH.