To defeat Bush, his opponent must come up with a compelling reason to replace him. That will be hard to do.
Volunteer soldiers getting killed by the dozens in Iraq is not a reason. Drafted soldiers getting killed may be a reason. If me or mine can be drafted to be killed that may be a reason. Fighting them there with volunteers rather than fighting them here wiht me as a target is reason to keep Bush.
When young men and woman have to volunteer to get killed in war, the vast majority of the voting public will not care. They and theirs have no intention of volunteering. It is not an issue.
What they will care about is the economy. And the center is watching the Nasdaq and Dow Jones. The Democrats don't have a prayer. This is not 2000 where voters had a moral a reason to not give Clinton and the Democrats a 3rd term. It is a tribute to the Bush staff that they won a 2000 victory. It was against all the odds.
The Democrats are all Deaniac's and they will have to live that impression down. Remember elections are won on impressions. And even if the voters are not paying attention, they still get impressions. And impressions have to be overcome. That is a very hard task when the impression is Demcrats are weak on defending the USA.
They have to over comethe impression. Unless they say get to the right of Bush on Defense .. they have bought the farm. And unless they can convince the public that Bush' tax cuts are not working, they have bought that farm too.
The Breck Girl will not live down the Breck girl image ib the south. It is the most costly negative image one can imagine. The Breck girl can not win.
God .. the muslims are coming... qiuck get me a sexy metrosexual with a sexy smile is not a female or male reaction.
The Breck girl can't get male votes. Pretty boys never get male votes.
My own grandma is enamored with Edwards - at 82!
They really do not need to win the south. They just need to win what they won the last time and pick up a couple of more state in the Midwest. Edwards also forces them to putout more energy in then south.They may get NH too this time. It is a closer horse race that we might like to think.