[Pubbie]

"If you're asking on what I base my Dean-Gephardt-Edwards-Kerry predicted finish in Iowa, mostly my gut instict based on each candidate's ground game, organization and poll results."

Which polls have you been looking at?

Supposedly the most accurate poll with the right methodology was The LA Times poll - and that showed Dean winning with 29% of the total vote.

[AuH2ORepublican]

"Which polls have you been looking at? "

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All of them. However, I discount the Kerry and Edwards results by a few points because I don't think they have the ground game and organizational to reach those numbers.