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Dean has money to run until the multi-state in February. If he wins or comes in 2nd in NH, he can go to the multi-state and focus on the libs, use motor voter, mobilize his base, etc. He's not toast, but he's getting warmer.

The best case scenario is for him to stay around, attack the others, siphon off money, and most of all, energize his base. Once he's knocked out, they'll DEMAND that Howard or Nader get the Green Party machine revved up. Then we have the best of all worlds:

If Kerry is top of the ticket, forget about it. No Mass. lib is going to carry anything outside of New England. Also, his wife is a complete nut and that will not work anywhere in the midwest or the south.

If Edwards is the top of the ticket, he doesn't win the South against W. He's a trial lawyer, and everyone hates lawyers (except other lawyers, of course).

If Dean hangs on, then he's completely beaten down by the end and Bush crushes him. Also, his wife is a howler and most people don't like doctors.

Clark is nuts and has no chance. His Q factor is very low, creepy looking on TV. Face is narrow, shoulders always hunched, fired as SAUCER. He's a mess.

Presidential elections are about how comfortable are with the candidate.