To: deport; All
"Rasmussen blew it big time in 2000. So at this stage I don't trust his polling... Scott has made corrections and time will tell how accurate they were"
3 points:
1.) Actually, Rasmussen's predictions could have been 'right on'; however, we'll never know because the alphabet networks called Florida before the polls closed in Florida/the SouthWest/West [NOTE: This early call cost the President votes not only in Florida, but also in the Southwest and West -- as Guilliani stated earlier this week, the early call cost the President the popular vote and at least 3 states!]
2.) Zogby, the only pollster who supposedly called the 2000
elections correctly (read #1) completely blew 2002, e.g., he called Florida a 'toss-up' the morning of the election and Gov Bush won by double digits!
3.) ALL tracking polls (particularly those of LIKELY VOTERS) are more accurate/reliable than one-shot polls of the general public. Rasmussen's current tracking poll is consistent with others that I watch but can't mention because they aren't meant for public consumption (if you get my meaning)!
ADDITIONAL PERSPECTIVE: PRESIDENT GEORGE W BUSH IS THE ONLY PRESIDENT IN THE MODERN ERA TO AVOID POLLING BELOW 50% IN A GALLUP POLL -- During their first terms, both Presidents Reagan and Clinton earned 'Gallup' job approval ratings in the 30s/40s OVER 50% of the time!
[BTW: I really enjoy reading your insightful posts! Keep up the GREAT work!]
701 posted on
01/17/2004 3:28:30 PM PST by
DrDeb
To: DrDeb
PRESIDENTIAL POLL PERFORMANCE 2000IMO, Rasmussen was never right on as if he was then the other 10 polling firms were way off.... I rather think Scott Rasmussen was wrong and I think he so states afterwards.....
706 posted on
01/17/2004 4:56:06 PM PST by
deport
(You BECOME 21, TURN 30, PUSH 40, REACH 50, MAKE 60, HIT 70 and then it becomes day by day)
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