[kingu]

I'm not generally a betting man. Yes, I dream about what it would be like to win the lottery, but I'll never do that if I don't buy a ticket, and it's been longer than a year since I had a 'chance.'

There is a great number of Bush-Bashers who are highly motivated to vote, and to get out the vote. And there are a fair number of core Republican voters who are dissatisfied with the job Bush is doing with immigration issues, free speech issues, and the runaway budget.

With a weak Rat candidate, we're back to 1992. The door is open to a third party to step in, draw away those who are concerned over the deficit and immigration, and Perot the election to someone unexpected.

Yes, things look good at the moment, but that could change in weeks.

[Texasforever]

There is a Gallup poll posted here that shows Bush with 95% strong support from Republicans and 20% support from Democrats. There may be a 3rd party challenge, there always is but it will have no effect on the election. I think you would lose your bet.