Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Wall Street cautiously welcomes California budget
Reuters via Forbes ^ | January 12, 2004 | Jim Christie

Posted on 01/12/2004 7:48:20 PM PST by calcowgirl

SAN FRANCISCO, Jan 12 (Reuters) - Credit ratings agencies on Monday praised Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's austere budget as a step toward solving California's chronic fiscal problems, but cautioned that much hinges on the veteran showman's ability to sell a $15 billion bond plan to voters.

If voters fail to approve that long-term bond, California lawmakers could be thrown back to the political deadlock that Schwarzenegger has vowed to break -- facing either deeper spending cuts that Democrats will not support or tax hikes the Republican governor has rejected, analysts and investors said.

"The crunch is on," said John Hallacy, managing director of municipal research for Merrill Lynch.

Schwarzenegger on Friday proposed a budget for the coming fiscal year featuring $4.6 billion in spending cuts mainly in education and welfare programs. The plan hinges on the massive bond in order to refinance existing debt.

The bond, which will go before voters on March 2, would be the largest municipal issue on record, and even Schwarzenegger's team has conceded it will be a tough sell to convince residents of the nation's most populous state to back it.

Steve Zimmermann, a managing director at Standard & Poor's, said the budget plan, which must be backed by two thirds of the Democratic-controlled legislature, represented a step toward resolving California's looming deficits over coming years.

"This budget, if adopted, would be movement toward structural balance through cuts," Zimmermann said.

But passing the $15 billion bond is crucial for the state, which would otherwise face the prospect of trying to roll over $14 billion in short-term debt, Zimmermann and others said.

That would mark the third consecutive year California has had to take that unusual step, and this time investors would likely demand steep concessions in the form of both higher interest rates and credit guarantees, analysts said.

In addition to the fight to convince voters to back his own bond, Schwarzenegger is also waging a battle in California courts to keep alive two borrowing plans proposed by his predecessor, former Gov. Gray Davis, a Democrat.

One of those -- a $10.7 billion bond issue -- is a critical fallback in case voters balk at Schwarzenegger's proposal, said David Moore, American Century Investments' director of municipal research.

The Sacramento, California-based Pacific Legal Foundation has challenged the $10.7 billion bond, claiming it violates the California constitution because voters did not approve it.

If both major bond proposals are blocked at the ballot box or by the courts, officials have said California will run out of cash in June.

"It could really force them into making some really severe budget cuts or revenue enhancements," American Century's Moore said.

Stephen Moore, a senior fellow with the Cato Institute and member of the governor's budget audit team, said : "None of us want to borrow, but we definitely think borrowing is a superior alternative to raising taxes. Borrowing is the least bad alternative."

Tim Blake, a senior analyst at Moody's Investors Service said the one-time fixes in Schwarzenegger's budget plan point to a massive problem that cannot be solved in a year.

But he added Moody's was not "critical" of the stop-gap measures given the severity of California's fiscal problems, which spurred the agency to cut the state's credit rating in December.

(Additional reporting by Michael Kahn in San Francisco)


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: bondratings; budget; calbudget2004; calgov2002; knife; prop57; prop58
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-53 next last

1 posted on 01/12/2004 7:48:21 PM PST by calcowgirl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl; NormsRevenge; *calgov2002; SierraWasp; Grampa Dave
Thanks for posting the news!
2 posted on 01/12/2004 8:02:30 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Davis is now out of Arnoold's Office , Bout Time!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
GIVE ME THE LEGAL FOUNDATION OR GIVE ME DEATH.
3 posted on 01/12/2004 8:10:38 PM PST by Digger
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; NormsRevenge
Thanks for posting the news!

I'm just trying to keep Norm on his toes! ;-)

4 posted on 01/12/2004 8:11:21 PM PST by calcowgirl (No on Propositions 55, 56, 57, 58)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: All
NOTE: the california budget is due to be signed in June in accordance with the state constitution. They are already "negotiating" in Sacramento. Something to remember in Aug when the budget bill still hasn't passed.
5 posted on 01/12/2004 8:13:49 PM PST by breakem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl
Good!

Between the two of you, nothing will be missed!
6 posted on 01/12/2004 8:15:41 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Davis is now out of Arnoold's Office , Bout Time!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; ElkGroveDan; farmfriend; ambrose; Roscoe; Carry_Okie; Avoiding_Sulla; ...
Tanks fer da ping.

"The bond, which will go before voters on March 2, would be the largest municipal issue on record, and even Schwarzenegger's team has conceded it will be a tough sell to convince residents of the nation's most populous state to back it."

It ain't legit ta borrow long term what the Demicrats squandered in less than 24 months! Yes, I want the government faced with bankruptcy so Governor Schwarzenegger can re-negotiate the illegitimate government employee Union Contracts AND the dismal, illegal Davis energy contracts!!!

Flame away... I'm here, I'm conservative and I ain't gonna stop it!!!

7 posted on 01/12/2004 8:17:26 PM PST by SierraWasp (GovernMental EnvironMentalism has become totally counterproductive and everybody knows it !!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl
Thanks for all the posts! :-]

I'm still recovering from the FReepathon! ;-)
8 posted on 01/12/2004 8:23:53 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi Mac ....... Become a Monthly at FR....... https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl; Grampa Dave; SierraWasp
According to this article there was no cut to school funding. Just a postponement of $2 billion...
9 posted on 01/12/2004 8:28:26 PM PST by tubebender (Don't believe anything you hear and only half of what you see...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl
In addition to the fight to convince voters to back his own bond, Schwarzenegger is also waging a battle in California courts to keep alive two borrowing plans proposed by his predecessor, former Gov. Gray Davis, a Democrat.

One of those -- a $10.7 billion bond issue -- is a critical fallback in case voters balk at Schwarzenegger's proposal, said David Moore, American Century Investments' director of municipal research.

So here we have Plan B.
If they can't borrow long term (bonds), they will continue to borrow short term.
When will they get the message? STOP SPENDING!

10 posted on 01/12/2004 8:28:32 PM PST by calcowgirl (No on Propositions 55, 56, 57, 58)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl
Let's see:

Wall Street likes it,

and John Burton and other Cuban Revolutionaries in the Legislature are decrying it.

What's not ta like??
11 posted on 01/12/2004 8:29:25 PM PST by pogo101
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
I'm still recovering from the FReepathon! ;-)

Glad to see you survived. :-)

I cruised through most of the news... and posted the newsworthy. I couldn't bring myself to post the 'Burton blasts Schwarzenegger budget' articles. Same whines as usual... old news. LOL.

12 posted on 01/12/2004 8:30:46 PM PST by calcowgirl (No on Propositions 55, 56, 57, 58)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: SierraWasp
I see yur wearing your FR (flame retardant) undies ya got for Christmas ;-}

Flame retardant underwear provides an additional barrier against fire and the resulting heat.

Small-XXLarge

13 posted on 01/12/2004 8:31:31 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi Mac ....... Become a Monthly at FR....... https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl; snopercod
And unconstitutional BORROWING!!!
14 posted on 01/12/2004 8:41:14 PM PST by SierraWasp (GovernMental EnvironMentalism has become totally counterproductive and everybody knows it !!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SierraWasp
We sure won't be voting for his bond issue.

I agree, bankruptcy of the state would be the best thing that could happen.

They could void the union contracts, fire about 80% of the useless state hogs slopping at the trough, eliminate all their commissions, and hopefully knock some smarts into the legislators.
15 posted on 01/12/2004 8:41:58 PM PST by dalereed (,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: calcowgirl
(No on Propositions 55, 56, 57, 58)

Do you have a link for those props?

16 posted on 01/12/2004 8:47:06 PM PST by lewislynn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
Well... Ya know we lives up here in El Dorado County where the assbestus lays around on the surfuss, just waitin ta be stuffed in our long handled undies that we got fer Christmas!!! (smirk)(that chit is scratchy, too)

Don't worry, I just be baitin the blind and the deaf, so to speak.(oh brother, here it comes now)

17 posted on 01/12/2004 8:47:49 PM PST by SierraWasp (GovernMental EnvironMentalism has become totally counterproductive and everybody knows it !!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: SierraWasp
From the article:

The Sacramento, California-based Pacific Legal Foundation has challenged the $10.7 billion bond, claiming it violates the California constitution because voters did not approve it.

Do you notice how the media continues to exclude the OTHER reason these bonds were challenged in the lawsuit: a deficit does not fit the constitutional requirement that bonds be for a 'single object or work'.

Arnold's bonds are unconstitutional too... unless of course the public can be fooled into voting for a "balanced budget act to change the constitution."

It's criminal.

(Obviously, you won't be getting any flames from me! LOL.)

18 posted on 01/12/2004 8:50:10 PM PST by calcowgirl (No on Propositions 55, 56, 57, 58)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: lewislynn
You don't need no link... just vote NO and fergetaboutit!!!
19 posted on 01/12/2004 8:50:32 PM PST by SierraWasp (GovernMental EnvironMentalism has become totally counterproductive and everybody knows it !!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: lewislynn; SierraWasp
I do agree with daWasp... just vote NO.

But here's a couple links:

Proposition 57/58:
FR Discussion and History

Proposition 56
NoBlankChecks.com

If you want more, you can click on the key words Prop 57 or Prop 58 below the article in Post #1 and you will find quite a few items.

Likewise, you can do an FR search from the home page http://www.freerepublic.com... Search for 'keyword': Prop 55, etc.

20 posted on 01/12/2004 9:10:45 PM PST by calcowgirl (No on Propositions 55, 56, 57, 58)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-53 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson