[CFC__VRWC]

I agree that he goes way off the reservation with the Jesse Ventura bit. However, I think he's right on the money about the election being much closer than a lot of people seem to think. If the Rats nominated Satan as their candidate he would still draw 40 percent of the vote. The 49-state blowout that so many are predicting ain't gonna happen.

[Huck]

I agree with you on that. I think the best he can do is 40-10, but he could get less than that if Conn, Maine, PA, or any rust belt state goes blue. I have CA, MA, NJ, NY, NM, OR, HA, VT, RI, WA, and MN all down as automatic blue states. That's what? 11 states?

Then you have to figure states like Connecticutt, Delaware, and West Virginia, as well as Ohio, Missouri, Wisconsin, and Michegan are at least in play.

No, Bush will not get 48 states. Probably won't get 40, the more I think about it, regardless of who the candidate is he faces.

[Moose4]

I agree. And there could still be a third-party candidate, though it won't be Ventura. Would Buchanan take another tilt at the windmill? Maybe someone running third-party from the right, attacking Bush on his runaway spending, bigger-government domestic agenda, and immigration proposals?

The Nader 2000 phenomenon, having a third-party candidate take votes from a candidate's base from the fringe instead of the center, isn't just exclusive to one side. It could happen to the GOP too. Sorry, folks, but GWB is vulnerable on his right flank when it comes to that domestic agenda. He has proven himself to be an excellent wartime leader, and for that reason alone (considering the alternatives) I'll vote for him. But without that, I don't think he'd be in real good shape with the fiscal-conservative base right now.

}:-)4

[Shermy]

If a Democrat spoke seriously about Iraq and illegal immigration's effects on the people, and posed a real plan to end it Bush would be finished. There would be little blue collar support for Bush.

[JayNorth]

The 49-state blowout that so many are predicting ain't gonna happen.

You're right in terms of popular vote, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a 42 or 43 state electoral vote sweep.

I agree, though, let us not get over-confident. The RATs have the media, the courts, education, union goons, ignorance, and corruption on their side, and they are quite skillful at using all of those advantages.