Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: MindBender26
What statistics? References, please, because if they were valid numbers, we would be using them.

The statistics show that she actually did better with voters in her congressional district than Bush did when he ran in 2000. That's hardly someone who voters run from.

77 posted on 01/08/2004 10:08:54 AM PST by ClintonBeGone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 74 | View Replies ]


To: ClintonBeGone
Sorry, but that is not a statistic you use to predict a statewide race.

In Realpolitic, one of the first things you look at is their Q rating. That is the percentage of people who know them who like them, minus two and a half times the number of people who know them and dislike them. Katherine does very poorly here STATEWIDE.

Another viable test is the Dollar Driver Scale. You get a percentage of voters who would GIVE MONEY to see her elected, vs those who would GIVE MONEY to see her opponent elected. (You are not actually looking for money here, just the depth of commitment.) Again, she fairs very poorly in this STATEWIDE.

Finally, you poll voters and ask if they are in favor/opposed to her "slightly or an average amount or a huge amount?" Again, she does poorly here, with those who oppose her doing so with great vigor.

A great lady. Not this race; not this time.
88 posted on 01/08/2004 10:20:53 AM PST by MindBender26 (For more news as it happens, stay tuned to your local FReeper Network station)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies ]

To: ClintonBeGone
The statistics show that she actually did better with voters in her congressional district than Bush did when he ran in 2000.

It's true that she got 55 where Bush got 54. But then again 2000 was a Democrat year, while 2002 was a GOP year. And:

That's hardly someone who voters run from.

"In the end, voters in this Republican-leaning district returned to form and gave her a 24,300-vote winning margin. This margin was lower than those of other Republican candidates running in pretty similar Republican performing open-seat races in south and central Florida. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart took 65 percent of the vote in the newly created 25th district and former House Speaker Tom Feeney took 62 percent in the new 24th district." http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?edit_id=39

According to the folks in the know, she didn't run a good campaign for Congress and had to be bailed out with last minute attack ads from the NRCC.

151 posted on 01/08/2004 12:17:42 PM PST by JohnnyZ (Abolish the food tax)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson