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Analysis: Al-Qaida's second breath (Al Qaeda, Pakistan, Saudi) -- IMPORTANT INFO)
UPI ^ | Dec. 26, 2003 | Claude Salhani

Posted on 12/27/2003 3:03:02 PM PST by FairOpinion

WASHINGTON, Dec. 26 (UPI) -- The two recent failed attempts on the life on Pakistan's President Pervez Musharraf, the heightened terror threat-level in the United States and the scare over trans-Atlantic airline hijackings on Christmas Day are obvious indications that al-Qaida is alive and well, and clearly engaged on a second major offensive.

Following their ouster from Afghanistan by U.S. forces in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks, Osama bin Laden's group was forced to flee its strongholds, abandoning training camps and safe houses. But by now they have had ample time to catch their breath, regroup, reassess and plan their next steps, which now appears to be unfolding.

Al-Qaida's strategy, it would seem, is being implemented on three separate fronts. The first is to strike at targets of opportunity, such as U.S. military and forces associated with them in Iraq. The presence of thousands of U.S. troops concentrated in and around Baghdad and other Iraqi localities makes that job all the easier for them. Infiltrating Iraq through its long and porous frontiers with Turkey, Syria, Saudi Arabia and Iran further facilitates that task for al-Qaida jihadis.

Furthermore, recruiting cashiered former Iraqi military personnel in dire need of cash, ready and willing to carry out attacks against U.S. forces simplifies the task for al-Qaida operatives in Iraq. Identifying and conscripting people willing to kill Americans in exchange for money in post-Saddam Iraq should not be a terribly difficult task given the circumstances.

Al-Qaida's second front seems to be centered on Pakistan. There are a number of reasons why that country has become of prime importance to bin Laden and his acolytes. First, is its proximity to Afghanistan, from where many al-Qaida operatives fled during the U.S. offensive to oust them and the Taliban. Second, al-Qaida, just as their Taliban brethren, find enormous sympathy and support in Pakistan, not only among the population at large, but also within the military. In Pakistan, bin Laden is considered a national hero and thousands of mothers have named their sons after him.

The last two assassination attempts on Musharraf's life -- the seventh and eighth since he took power in 1999 -- would also indicate that al-Qaida is intent on overthrowing the Pakistani president. Musharraf is despised by many for the about-face he adopted vis-à-vis the Taliban, abandoning them and siding with the United States in the war on terror. Not least of those who dislike him are prominent officers in the ISI, Pakistan's influential intelligence service.

Overthrowing Musharraf and assuming power in Pakistan would accomplish two objectives for the jihadis. First, it would replace Afghanistan, giving them a "legitimate" base of operations -- something they lack at the moment. It would give them a tremendous power-base with almost unlimited human resources to choose from, when compared to Afghanistan. Pakistan's population is made up of 150 million, of which, by Musharraf' own account, one percent -- or 150,000 people -- share the extremist views of al-Qaida and bin Laden.

But of far greater importance is the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear power and the country falling into the hands of the jihadis would make bin Laden a nuclear power -- far more dangerous than a group of fanatic skyjackers armed with Islamist fervor, box cutters and determination.

The Islamists' third front is, of course, Saudi Arabia. This, in fact, has been and remains bin Laden's original objective. Bin Laden intends to overthrow the House of Saud, which he sees as corrupt, and in the process take over the immense richness of Saudi's oil production -- the world's first provider of black gold. The turmoil that has gripped the kingdom in 2003 -- bombings and attacks -- is only the beginning. Look for more terrorist actions meant to undermine the royal family in the year to come.

Bin Laden sees the United States -- the sole remaining super power -- as one of the few, if not the only impediment to his grandiose dreams of establishing an Islamist caliphate that would stretch from southwest Asia, to the Arabian peninsula, the former Soviet republics and beyond.

U.S. support of Musharraf and the Saudi royal family exacerbates the jihadis' hate of the United States, and in the course any harm they can cause to the United States -- at home or abroad -- they see as an added bonus in their ongoing struggle.

Should he accomplish his objectives, with a finger on a nuclear trigger and control over the world's vastest supply of oil, bin Laden would greatly change the present world order.


TOPICS: Front Page News; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: afghanistan; alqaida; caliphate; clashofcivilizations; islamofascist; musharraf; newworldorder; orangealert4; osamabinladen; pakistan; sharia
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To: FreedomPoster
What was your source? I'm interesting in reading this.

Just enter "Sayyid Qutb" in any search engine (I used google.com). There's enough there to keep you busy for a long time.

Sayyid Qtab was hanged for treason ("martyred") in 1966 by Egypt's Nasser after spending most of the last ten years of his life in prison. His implacable hatred for the US and western culture apparently developed during a two year stint he spent in Greeley, Colorado, in 1948-1950 obtaining a master's degree in education. Upon returning to Egypt, he assisted Nasser and Sadat in their coup to oust King Farouk. Nasser and Sadat soon turned on him and threw him in prison, however, when he complained that they had betrayed Islam by entering into a treaty with Great Britain (among other sins).

While in prison he wrote prodigiously. His books, including "In the Shade of the Koran" and "Milestones" are revered by all Islamofascists who see in them the detailed outline for speeding the death and burial of western culture and replacing it with world-dominating Islam.

The impact of Sayyid Qtab's works on Islamic extremism cannot be overestimated. His brother Muhammed fled Egypt to become a highly-respected professor in Saudi Arabia. His star pupil was Osama bin Laden. Nearly every significant act of Islamofascist violence of the past 25 years can be traced directly to Qtab's influence, e.g., the assassination of Sadat, the massacre of western tourists at the Great Pyramid in 1993, the first failed attempt to bring down the World Trade Centers, the rise and rule of the Taliban in Afghanistan, the bombing of the USS Cole, the Khobar Towers and Nairobi embassy carnages, the current attempts to assassinate the prime minister of Afganistan, and of course 9/11.

Sayyid Qtab's influence goes far beyond extremists and extends even to more "moderate" divisions of Islam. I was shocked to find Qtab and his works praised in nearly reverential terms on an otherwise middle-of-the-road english-language website targeted at Muslim youth. That's troubling, because an English language website is quite clearly directed at an English speaking audience.

The enemy is being organized and outfitted from within as well as from without.

This doesn't mean that all or even a majority of Muslims shares Qtab's vision. But a significant and capable minority does. After reading several sources both pro and con about Sayyid Qtab, his works, and their impact and influence within the Muslim community I am absolutely convinced we are engaged in a much larger, more difficult, and longer-term struggle that most of us have dared to imagine.

81 posted on 12/28/2003 7:03:10 AM PST by Kevin Curry
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. . . the current attempts to assassinate the prime minister of Afganistan, and of course 9/11.

Correction: Pakistan.

82 posted on 12/28/2003 7:07:50 AM PST by Kevin Curry
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And it's "Qutb" not "Qtab" (takes some getting used to). It is pronouned KUH-tahb.
83 posted on 12/28/2003 7:10:02 AM PST by Kevin Curry
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To: FairOpinion
Those two things would be THE END of the Mid East as We know it, all that would be left is OUR NEW OIL HOLDINGS and an extinct raghead population.(and glowing sand dunes)
84 posted on 12/28/2003 7:15:44 AM PST by ChefKeith (NASCAR...everything else is just a game!)
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To: Pubbie
But what could we do then? Do we know where the Pak Nukes are so that we can bomb them?

I'm sure India has this intelligence and would be willling to share it with us...if they already haven't.

85 posted on 12/28/2003 7:22:06 AM PST by BureaucratusMaximus (if we're not going to act like a constitutional republic...lets be the best empire we can be...)
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To: Kevin Curry
...His implacable hatred for the US and western culture apparently developed during a two year stint he spent in Greeley, Colorado...

I know how he feels.

86 posted on 12/28/2003 7:42:43 AM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: yoe
"Col. North replied that his family had been threatened by the most evil person alive that I know of, Osama bin Laden!"


I believe what he actually said was that his family had been threatened by "....the most evil person alive that I know of, Abu nidal."



87 posted on 12/28/2003 8:19:42 AM PST by rogator
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To: yoe
That account with Ollie North is not true. It was not bin Laden that North was talking about.
88 posted on 12/28/2003 7:17:31 PM PST by Prodigal Son
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To: FairOpinion
Should he accomplish his objectives, with a finger on a nuclear trigger and control over the world's vastest supply of oil, bin Laden would greatly change the present world order.

Think about how much different this world would be if the US wasn't here to prevent this from happening.

89 posted on 12/28/2003 7:18:49 PM PST by Prodigal Son
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To: Prodigal Son
"Think about how much different this world would be if the US wasn't here to prevent this from happening."

==

You are right. The whiny French should stop and think about that.
90 posted on 12/28/2003 8:00:33 PM PST by FairOpinion
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To: rogator
I stand corrected; thanks rogator and Prodigal Son.
91 posted on 12/29/2003 5:10:48 AM PST by yoe (Little Tommy Daschle and tantrum throwing little Gen. Clark are like farts in a skittle.....)
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MARK>
92 posted on 12/29/2003 1:34:15 PM PST by swarthyguy
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To: Mad_Tom_Rackham
>>I could easily imagine a figure closer to 10%.

ANd that doesn't account for the large number of sympathisers, not only among the poor, but also amongst many members of the middle class and rich industrial elites and the military.

Westernised, yet they admire the audacity of Osama and the jihadis in taking on America.
93 posted on 01/01/2004 12:27:22 PM PST by swarthyguy
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To: Prime Choice
Judging from the actions and attitudes of the anti-American Leftists in this nation,
my fears have been realized.


Heck, those slithering lizards started re-arranging their strategies when the
second jet hit the WTC.

IIRC, reporter Bill Sammons records that James Carville was at some strategy
meeting to bash Bush at that very moment...and when it was announced to the room
that we were obviously under attack, he said jumped up and screamed to the
audience "This changes EVERYTHING!"

As in they'd have to develop a different plan for undercutting Dubya in the 2002
elections and beating him in 2004.

I pray that my fellow citizens continue to recognize the reptilian actions of
the movers/shakers of the Democratic Party and some of The Nine Dwarfs.
94 posted on 01/01/2004 12:34:33 PM PST by VOA
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To: Dog; irish_lad
Thank goodness we've had the ability to get some of our personnel into Pakistan
for a few years. Maybe they've gathered enough intelligence so that if
the Islamwackos seize control, the only problem will be getting teams in to contain
the scattered radioactive wreckage of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal.
95 posted on 01/01/2004 12:37:18 PM PST by VOA
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