CIA projection sees China 'crash,' North Asia boom

World Tribune ^ | 12/19/03

[truthandlife]

A CIA report predicts that North Asia will prosper over the next 17 years and large states in South Asia could grow unstable.

The report also warns that China could "crash" in the coming years, leading to a desperate attempt by the Chinese Communist Party to unite Taiwan by force.

The report, "Global Trends 2020 — East Asia," was made public Dec. 8 by the National Intelligence Council, an advisory unit that reports for the CIA director. The report is part of a yearlong effort to study "alternative futures," according to the NIC web site (www.cia.gov/nic)

Robert Hutchings, chairman of the National Intelligence Council, said in a Dec. 1 speech that East Asia is "on the brink of major change, as China continues to move toward greater economic openness and political flux."

"The key question is whether that political system is sufficiently elastic, and its leaders sufficiently imaginative, to accommodate continued rapid economic growth and the social pressures it will bring," he said.

Hutchings also noted that unification on the Korean peninsula "cannot be far off, with all the uncertainties that entails."

"Northeast and Southeast Asia will progress along divergent paths: the countries of the North will become wealthier and more powerful, while the largest states in the South -- Indonesia and the Philippines — will become poorer, more populous, and more unstable," the report states.

[Steel Wolf]

"Northeast and Southeast Asia will progress along divergent paths: the countries of the North will become wealthier and more powerful, while the largest states in the South -- Indonesia and the Philippines — will become poorer, more populous, and more unstable," the report states.

Very true. The Philippines has stumbled over reform and is now sunken in corruption and infighting. Arroyo may wind up leaving office in the same manner as the last president, ie at gunpoint.

Much the same with Indonesia and Malaysia. They advanced far enough along to realize that there was solid public support for Islamic hardliners. Now they have begun chasing those numbers without admitting how badly that could get out of hand. If those two countries fall to the religious extremists, as they very well could, it will greatly compound the misery in that part of the world.

[WOSG]

my feelings exactly...

Indonesia getting poorer? hmmm. I think the opposite.

[Brian Allen]

Historic?

Because the feral gummint finally caught up with us old china hands?

More like tired and lazy and second-handed Tuesday-morning quarterbacking.

Many others and I have been demonstrating, proving, illustrating, prophesizing, predicting and promising the inevitable crash of the empire built on more than two and a half million square miles of other people's territories, states and nations and on its enslavement of the more than a billion medieval serfs by the Peking-based pack of psychopathologically-hesperophobic, lying, looting, mass-murdering gangster bastatrds that calls itself "china."

We wrote of the inevitability of the coming crash more than a decade ago and all that has happened since is that our predictions have proven themselves and the crash has become obvious to even those so hard up as to have been forced, like the authors of the cia's second-handed "report," to take the gummint's dole.

And now an agency of

[international american]

"Much the same with Indonesia and Malaysia. They advanced far enough along to realize that there was solid public support for Islamic hardliners. Now they have begun chasing those numbers without admitting how badly that could get out of hand. If those two countries fall to the religious extremists, as they very well could, it will greatly compound the misery in that part of the world."

Malaysia is much better off than Indonesia, both in extremism and corruption factors. I will not even travel to Indonesia, whereas I feel perfectly safe in Malaysia.