My city's "City Engineer" complained to me once that I was causing the city too much trouble on behalf of my developer clients. I floored him by saying the city's problem was not hiring me first. When he stopped gasping, he said he had not expected such a mercenary reply.
My point is that lawyers have to be objective in legal analysis. We must often say the most amazing things with a straight face to win, but we have to weigh the chances of winning with a given argument as honestly as we can.
IMO it will be very, very, difficult to keep "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" alive. It was shaky before Lawrence v. Texas but the odds then were a bit better than 50/50, and that's how the Supremes ruled.
After Lawrence, I put the chances of it going down at four or five to one.
Interesting choice of words, LOL! Perhaps you're counting on your own odds being the same? I think you've tipped your hand...
...or your wrist, at the very least!