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U.S. Nov CPI fell 0.2 pct
Biz.Yahoo/Reuters ^ | December 16, 2003

Posted on 12/16/2003 6:24:58 AM PST by Starwind

U.S. Nov CPI fell 0.2 pct
Tuesday December 16, 8:31 am ET

   WASHINGTON, Dec 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Labor Department monthly
Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), 1982-84 equals 100 (except where
noted):
  Percent Changes:           Seasonally Adj.  Unadjusted
.                                  Nov    Oct   Nov03/02
All Items                         -0.2   UNCH      1.8
 Excluding Food/Energy            -0.1    0.2      1.1
Energy                            -3.0   -3.9      6.2
Food and Beverages                 0.4    0.6      3.1
Food                               0.4    0.6      3.2
CPI-Urban Consumers-X            184.5  185.0       
 X-Data unadjusted.
  Percent Changes:           Seasonally Adj.  Unadjusted
.                                  Nov   Oct   Nov03/02
Housing                           -0.1   0.3      2.2
Shelter                           UNCH   0.4      2.2
Rent of Primary Residence          0.2  UNCH      2.7
Owners' Equivalent Rent-Y          0.1   0.3      2.1
Housing Fuels/Utilities           -0.9  -0.8      6.5
Household Furnishings/Operations  -0.3   0.2     -2.3
Y-Dec 1982=100 base.
  Percent Changes:           Seasonally Adj.  Unadjusted
.                                  Nov    Oct   Nov03/02
Apparel                           -0.5    0.2     -1.9
Transportation                    -1.3   -1.6      0.3
New/Used Motor Vehicles-V         -0.4   -0.7     -4.3
New Vehicles                      UNCH   -0.3     -2.1
Gasoline                          -5.0   -6.8      5.5
  Percent Changes:           Seasonally Adj.  Unadjusted
.                                  Nov    Oct   Nov03/02
Medical Care                       0.3    0.3      3.5
Prescription drugs                -0.2    0.2      2.2
Recreation-V                       0.1   UNCH      1.3
Education/Communication-V          0.1   UNCH      1.4
Tobacco                           -0.1    0.2     -0.3
Commodities                       -0.5   -0.6      0.2
Services                          UNCH    0.3      2.9
Airline Fares (Unadjusted)        -2.6   UNCH      2.2
CPI-W                             -0.3   -0.2      1.6
V-Dec 1997=100 base. CPI-W--Index for urban wage earners and
clerical workers.
 FORECAST:
 Reuters survey of economists forecast:
 U.S. Nov CPI +0.1 pct
 U.S. Nov CPI ex-food/energy +0.1 pct
 HISTORICAL:
 U.S. CORE CPI 12-MOS CHANGE +1.1 PCT, LOWEST SINCE +0.9 PCT
IN JAN 1966


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: consumerpriceindex; consumerprices; cpi; tdids
The full BLS report is at CONSUMER PRICE INDEX: NOVEMBER 2003
1 posted on 12/16/2003 6:24:59 AM PST by Starwind
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To: AntiGuv; arete; sourcery; Soren; Tauzero; imawit; David; AdamSelene235; sarcasm; OwenKellogg; ...
Great news for all of you who don't eat, heat, or drive...
2 posted on 12/16/2003 6:25:54 AM PST by Starwind (The Gospel of Jesus Christ is the only true good news)
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To: Starwind
WASHINGTON - Consumer prices dipped by 0.2 percent in November, pulled down by cheaper gasoline, clothes and airline fares, fresh evidence that inflation isn't a problem even as the economy has shifted into a higher gear.



The Labor Department (news - web sites)'s latest reading Tuesday on the Consumer Price Index (news - web sites), the government's most closely watched inflation barometer, comes after consumer prices were flat in October. It marks the first decline in the CPI since April, when prices dropped by 0.3 percent.


Excluding energy and food prices, which can swing widely from month to month, "core" prices fell by 0.1 percent in November, the biggest drop since December 1982 and down from a 0.2 percent increase in October.


The declines in both overall consumer prices and in core inflation in November surprised economists. They were forecasting a tiny 0.1 percent advance in each measure.


In other economic news, the nation's red-hot housing market continued to sizzle in November with construction of new homes and apartments rising 4.5 percent to an annual rate of 2.07 million units, the fastest building pace in nearly two decades.


The November gain reflected a 3.3 percent increase in construction of single-family homes, which rose to a record annual rate of 1.70 million units, and a 6.3 percent increase in apartment building, which climbed to a rate of 335 million units.


Housing activity has soared over the past three years despite the 2001 recession and a lackluster economic recovery up until recently. Economists credit the strength in housing to the lowest mortgage rates in more than four decades.


The Commerce Department (news - web sites) reported that the nation's broadest measure of foreign trade fell slightly to $135.04 billion this summer after setting an all-time high in the spring.


The drop in the current account trade deficit in the July-September quarter reflected a 3.1 percent improvement from a record quarterly deficit of $139.39 billion set in the April-June period.


Even with the small improvement in the third quarter, the country is well on its way to setting an all-time record deficit for the year of more than $500 billion in the current account.


Because inflation has been tame for some time, the Federal Reserve (news - web sites) last week held a key short-term interest rate at a 45-year low of 1 percent and suggested it could stay there for a "considerable period."


Fed policy-makers at that time also said the dangerous prospect that inflation could move lower was less of a concern than it has been. That marked a change from recent months where Fed policy-makers identified the remote threat of deflation, a widespread and prolonged price decline, as a risk that they must be on guard against because of its potential to wreck the economy.


The worries about deflation should dim as the economy gains traction, analysts say.


The economy grew at a scorching 8.2 percent annual rate in the third quarter, the hottest pace in nearly two decades. Analysts believed the economy slowed to a 4 percent growth rate in the October-to-December quarter, which would still be considered a healthy pace.


For the first 11 months of this year, consumer prices have risen at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.8 percent, slower than the 2.4 percent rise for all of 2002. Core prices, meanwhile, have advanced at a rate of 1.1 percent so far this year, compared with a 1.9 percent increase last year.


In November, falling prices for energy products, clothing and airline fares outweighed rising prices for food, medical care and college tuition.


Energy prices retreated by 3 percent in November. That was led by a 5 percent drop in gasoline prices. Natural gas prices fell 3.1 percent and electricity prices went down by 0.6 percent last month. However, fuel oil costs rose 1 percent.





Food prices rose by 0.4 percent last month. Higher prices for beef and veal, fruit, poultry and pork swamped lower prices for vegetables and dairy products.

Elsewhere in the report: clothing prices last month dropped by 0.5 percent, airline fares fell 2.6 percent, lodging prices declined 1.1 percent and new-car prices were flat.

Medical care costs rose 0.3 percent in November and college tuition and fees went up by 0.4 percent, continued sore spots for consumers.


3 posted on 12/16/2003 6:27:37 AM PST by RedBloodedAmerican (....still waiting for France to surrender....)
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To: Starwind
Great news for all of you who don't eat, heat, or drive...

Read post #3. How do you justify your comment, or are you grasping for any way to trash President Bush's econimic recovery? I know you might miss clinton, but c'mon...

4 posted on 12/16/2003 6:28:57 AM PST by RedBloodedAmerican (....still waiting for France to surrender....)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
Read post #3. How do you justify your comment, or are you grasping for any way to trash President Bush's econimic recovery?

I think he is more of a gloom and doom, Y2K gold-pushing type actually.

5 posted on 12/16/2003 6:32:10 AM PST by Always Right
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
Read post #3. How do you justify your comment, or are you grasping for any way to trash President Bush's econimic recovery? I know you might miss clinton, but c'mon...

Actually, he's right -- as compared to last year, energy and food cost more by a couple of percent.

6 posted on 12/16/2003 6:35:06 AM PST by r9etb
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To: r9etb
Actually, he's right -- as compared to last year, energy and food cost more by a couple of percent.

And two percent inflation is bad?

7 posted on 12/16/2003 6:39:03 AM PST by Always Right
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To: Always Right
And two percent inflation is bad?

No -- it's pretty much the standard value since Reagan's time. But it still means that things cost more than last year.

8 posted on 12/16/2003 6:41:17 AM PST by r9etb
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
From you own post, perhaps you might reread it:
Excluding energy and food prices, which can swing widely from month to month, "core" prices fell by 0.1 percent in November, the biggest drop since December 1982 and down from a 0.2 percent increase in October.

I was being sarcastic about how CPI is measured.

Here is another thread highlighting one of the more egregious aberrations in CPI measurement:

Pricing and Valuing Financial Assets - It's a great time to sell!

9 posted on 12/16/2003 7:01:24 AM PST by Starwind (The Gospel of Jesus Christ is the only true good news)
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To: r9etb
Lesssee, gas was $1.29 unleaded yesterday at my pump. Take out the $.56 per gallon taxes, and in real dollars, that's less than I poured into my '69 Camaro with the twin Holleys and the tunnel-ram (and that was a helluva car).

Falling prices are great for me, and I DO eat, heat, drive, go out, etc. Love it.

10 posted on 12/16/2003 7:06:22 AM PST by LS
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
Consumer prices dipped by 0.2 percent in November, pulled down by cheaper gasoline, clothes and airline fares, fresh evidence that inflation isn't a problem even as the economy has shifted into a higher gear.

I wonder how we'll ever end the persistent delusion that a growing economy causes inflation.

11 posted on 12/16/2003 7:41:16 AM PST by Moonman62
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