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To: hunter112
I don't think it's anywhere near wrapped up. First of all, only 60% of the delegates come from the primary voting (the other 40% are 'super'delegates officially uncommitted). Secondly, those delegates coming from primaries are now committed on a proportional basis, not winner-takes-all, as in prior years.

I'm expecting a horse-trading auction at the convention, with the wicked witch's finger in all the pies.

16 posted on 12/13/2003 11:33:10 AM PST by expatpat
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To: expatpat
I'm expecting a horse-trading auction at the convention, with the wicked witch's finger in all the pies.

I'm hoping you're just being paranoid, although after eight years of the Clintons (eleven, if you count her Senate term served so far), I don't blame anybody for feeling that way!

Sure, you're right, the numbers are not firmly there, but can you really see the 40% of the superdelegates aligning with an anti-Dean candidate that has only a scant 11-20% percent of the delegates in his pocket by Convention Week, while Howie comes to Boston with 40-50% of his own? Just getting an anti-Dean to pile up 11% of the delegates will be a great challenge. Victories in Iowa and New Hampshire will keep Howard the Coward's momentum going, and if he somehow wins in South Carolina, its really over.

By February 3rd, a scant 80 days from now, the Rat nomination might be considered a done deal.

20 posted on 12/13/2003 11:52:11 AM PST by hunter112
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