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Nothing to Lose But Their Chains (Ledeen)
Spectator ^ | 11/20/03 | Michael Ledeen

Posted on 11/20/2003 1:00:56 PM PST by freedom44

The most controversial part of George W. Bush’s vision of the war against terrorism is his insistence that this is a war against tyranny, and that we will not be able to win the war until we have helped democratic revolutions succeed in the key countries, those that provide the terrorists with much of their vital wherewithal. It’s controversial for varying reasons, depending on the critic. Some say that countries are marginal in the terror universe; it’s transnational organisations like al-Qa’eda which we must defeat. Others are upset because they think the President is declaring war on any country, anywhere, that helps the terrorists, and they ask where the money and the troops will come from. Still others are critical of Bush’s belief that the Middle East can be successfully democratised at all, and wish that the United States would either give up this crazy dream, or get serious about building an empire and find proper viceroys, etc.

A bit over a year ago I published a book that argued precisely this thesis (The War Against the Terror Masters), and my main complaint about the coalition’s performance thus far is that we have been too cautious, too slow, and, above all, that we have failed to support the democratic opposition forces which threaten the countries that sponsor terror and are primarily responsible for the terror war we now face in Iraq (and which I predicted many months before the liberation of Iraq).

Our enemies in Damascus, Tehran and Riyadh are all tyrants, which is their common denominator. Note that our enemies are not, as is commonly presumed, jihadists, since the Baathist regime in Syria, like its late brother in Iraq, came to power as a secular Arab socialist regime, not as a step along the road to a fundamentalist caliphate. This is not a clash of civilisations; it’s an old-fashioned war of freedom against tyranny. The President is entirely right on this point.

Our failures to date are primarily the result of bad intelligence and insufficient attention to the peoples of the region (which go hand in hand, you’ll notice). If we had supported the Iraqi democratic opposition (as was required by American law, and for which considerable sums were appropriated but never disbursed, because the state department didn’t think it was a good idea), we would be in a better position to find out what is really going on inside the country, instead of having one general tell us that we’re mostly under attack from foreigners, and another general say no, it’s mostly enraged Saddam followers.

The CIA and the state department have seemingly spent more energy on defeating the Iraqi National Congress — the umbrella opposition organisation led by Ahmad Chalabi — than on overthrowing Saddam and working with the opposition to plan for the postwar period. Iran has created at least a dozen radio and television stations to spread its poison throughout Iraq, while the United States only recently got its first national radio station on the air. If we were serious about enlisting the people, we’d have been prepared to talk to them from the outset. So when you think about the Dubya Doctrine of spreading democratic revolution, remember that he’s got the bureaucracy working against him.

It was a mistake to think about Iraq as a thing in itself, as if we could detach it from the regional context and ‘solve’ it alone. During the 14 or 15 months from Afghanistan to Iraq, the terror masters made a war plan that called for replicating the successes of Lebanon in the Eighties: kidnapping, assassination, suicide bombs and terrorist attacks — mostly from Hezbollah — eventually drove out both American and French armed forces. They made no secret of their intentions — Iranian and Syrian leaders openly announced them, but the war planners apparently either ignored them or laughed it off.

Iran has always been the most powerful and the most lethal of the terror masters (Hezbollah is an Iranian creation, a wholly owned subsidiary of the Islamic Republic), but it also holds another record of sorts: it is the first example of a totally failed Shiite Islamist state. The crazed leaders of the Islamic Republic have wrecked and ransacked the country for their own personal profit, oppressed, enslaved, murdered and tortured the Iranian people, and supported the killers of thousands of innocent people all over the world. The Iranian people hate this regime. They have expressed their hatred in every imaginable way, from mass demonstrations to amazingly candid replies to pollsters, to sending heartbreaking faxes and emails to people in the West who seem to understand their plight and share their dreams of freedom.

If the mullahs were brought down, they would certainly be replaced by a democratic government that separated mosque and state and gave the Iranian people a major voice in the country’s policies. There are very few knowledgeable people who doubt this, and this has been a major theme of the Dubya Doctrine all along. But to our shame the words have not been accompanied by action, either in Washington or London or any other Western capital, even though all are agreed that Iran is the leading terror master, that many of our troubles in Iraq are the result of Iranian actions or the actions of Iranian proxies, and that the Iranian people are ready to take to the streets against the mullahcracy in the same way the Serbs organised to bring down Milosevic.

Iran is ready for democratic revolution, and it is the key to the terror network. Ergo we should be supporting democratic revolution in Iran, and we should get on with it quickly before they show us that they have finally built an atomic bomb. It is hard to argue that Iran is somehow incapable of democracy, or that the mullahcracy should be tolerated any longer, let alone supported. Yet European and UN ‘diplomatic missions’ regularly show up in Tehran, occasionally mutter a few critical remarks about human rights violations or suspicious uranium samples, and then go away. I think we would do a lot better to recite the known facts about Iran every day, and give the Iranian people the support they deserve: round-the-clock broadcasting to encourage them to be brave, money to support potential strikes in the country’s crucial oil and gas and textile industries, communications toys like satellite phones so that they can communicate with one another when the regime shuts down the cells, as was done last summer on the eve of an announced national strike. Instead, we have remained aloof and even made highly misleading remarks (take the deputy secretary of state Richard Armitage, who proclaimed Iran ‘a democracy’; and the secretary of state Colin Powell, who, on the verge of the planned uprising last summer, said the United States really didn’t want to get involved in the Iranians’ ‘family squabble’.) Many Iranians felt betrayed, since they had earlier heard the President’s numerous statements about the need to spread freedom in their region.

My guess is that if we show we are serious about supporting the democratic opposition in Iran, the mullahcracy will fall and the contagion will reach all areas of the Middle East. Indeed, some of that has happened already; for example, we have recently seen the first pro-democracy demonstrations in the history of Saudi Arabia. And it cannot be an accident that those demonstrations came shortly after the liberation of Iraq, and the Arabs saw more than 200 Iraqi newspapers spring up, along with countless magazines, new courses at the universities and other signs of intellectual creativity that hadn’t been seen for generations.

I do not believe that Arab or Muslim DNA is mysteriously lacking a democracy chromosome or a freedom gene. I don’t think that democratic revolution is all that difficult, or that it requires some key sociological component such as a middle class or a historical event such as a Reformation or an industrial revolution (Athenian democracy had none of the above). I believe that the advantages of a free society are pretty clear to almost the entire population of the planet, that most people would choose to be free if they were free to choose, and that, thereafter, some would do well and others not, just as in the past. There is no lack of evidence for this, in the Middle East or elsewhere.

For many years the same sorts of objection to the feasibility of democracy in the Middle East were raised against democracy in South America. The Latinos, it was said, just weren’t cut out for it; they liked caudillos too much. And yet during the eight years of Ronald Reagan’s presidency democratic revolution swept the entire region. There were only two elected governments in South America at the beginning, and only two unelected ones in the whole region when he handed the keys to the White House to Bush the Elder.

I think we are on the verge of the same kind of revolutionary transformation in the Middle East today. The real question is not whether it can be done, but whether we have the will to do it. We haven’t been very good in Afghanistan, where American negotiators unaccountably agreed to the creation of an ‘Islamic Republic’ when we should have vetoed the very idea. We haven’t been nearly as active as we should have been in embracing the Iraqis, who have proved many of the pessimists totally wrong: there hasn’t been a religious or ethnic civil war, the Iraqi Shiites have not been manipulated by the Iranians, and there are plenty of talented and educated Iraqis who, given the chance, could do a thoroughly presentable job of managing their country. We’re getting better, but the people of the region are running ahead of us whenever they can. There was a brief ‘Prague Spring’ in Damascus after the death of the old tyrant, but it was crushed soon after. I don’t think it will be that difficult to find suitably democratic forces in Syria in the future, especially if we deal effectively with Iran.

The main thing is to see the situation plainly: we are at war with a group of tyrants who sponsor a network of terrorists. Our most potent weapon against them is their own people, who hate them and wish to be free. We don’t need to invade Iran or Syria or Saudi Arabia, but we certainly need to support the calls for freedom coming from within those tyrannical countries.

And that’s the Dubya Doctrine.


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: arabworld; bushdoctrine; michaelledeen; middleeast
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To: dennisw
How many times have you been banned from FR?
21 posted on 11/20/2003 2:09:50 PM PST by JohnGalt ("Nothing happened on 9/11 to make the federal government more competent.")
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To: JohnGalt
How exactly did Michaeel Ledeen bring disgrace upon the Reagan admin?
22 posted on 11/20/2003 2:11:03 PM PST by jla (http://hillarytalks.blogspot.com)
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To: jla
Does nobody have Google on their computers?

Ledeen Iran-Contra

It's a good place to start anyway. Pulls some names and type them into Google.

23 posted on 11/20/2003 2:13:39 PM PST by JohnGalt ("Nothing happened on 9/11 to make the federal government more competent.")
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To: JohnGalt
It's trivial that the man uses the title of a murderous Italian fascist for the purposes of e-mail? Wow.

So amusing coming from you, who lift the name of some clown from an Ayn Rand novel for your Freeper ID.



Ayn Rand

24 posted on 11/20/2003 2:14:31 PM PST by dennisw (G_d is at war with Amalek for all generations)
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To: dennisw
Never pegged you for much of a reader.

Just seeing you defend a fascistphile is pleasing enough, though.


25 posted on 11/20/2003 2:18:53 PM PST by JohnGalt ("Nothing happened on 9/11 to make the federal government more competent.")
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To: JohnGalt
Does nobody have Google on their computers?

Sure do!

Ledeen Iran-Contra

Oh, 'Iran-Contra'. I *somehow knew* that's what you were referring to.
Actually a very well thought out and cunmning plan, as well as an economical one.
Getting the Irani's to pay escalated prices for run o'the mill weapons and then using the funds to help stymie the hopes 'n aspirations of the S. American communists.

And neither you, nor antiwar.com speak for RR or his administration.

And isn't antiwar somewhat of a misnomer? ;^)

26 posted on 11/20/2003 2:24:42 PM PST by jla (http://hillarytalks.blogspot.com)
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To: JohnGalt
Mussolini was not the first historical figure named Benito. There was Benito Juarez (1806-1872) before him (liberator of Mexico from French oppression), the man the Italian was named for.
27 posted on 11/20/2003 2:26:20 PM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: JohnGalt
Never pegged you for much of a reader.

I like to read. Difference between me and you is I don't squander my time reading books extolling the cheap pipe dreams of libertarianism. I thumbed through some Ayn Rand books and moved on. You didn't and stagnated. A libertarian dinosaur. The era of Islamic terror makes libertarianism redundant and stupid. 

As I said... I moved onward, while your wheels spun in the libertarian rut.

28 posted on 11/20/2003 2:29:14 PM PST by dennisw (G_d is at war with Amalek for all generations)
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To: JohnGalt
Once again I have to ask you where you disagree with what he wrote here?

As for having friends who may or may not make money if the regime changes in Iran, I say: who cares? I hope a bunch of Americans make money when the regime in Iran falls.

Are you really willing to consign the average Iranian to continued dictatorship because you don't like Mr. Ledeen or that some of his friends may make money if it happens?

If you ask me, that's a pretty shortsighted view of things.

If we help the Iranians throw off the yokes of their oppressors it seems we would have an opportunity to make up for how badly the US government bolloxed up Iran in the 50's and 60's.

I don't think that would be such a bad thing either.

L

29 posted on 11/20/2003 2:32:15 PM PST by Lurker (Some people say you shouldn't kick a man when he's down. I say there's no better time to do it.)
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To: NutCrackerBoy
http://www.cafeshops.com/activistchat/159408

Try here.
30 posted on 11/20/2003 2:33:14 PM PST by Pan_Yans Wife ("Your joy is your sorrow unmasked." --- GIBRAN)
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To: JohnGalt
Ledeens name appears in that article exactly once.

Not much evidence there.

L

31 posted on 11/20/2003 2:38:35 PM PST by Lurker (Some people say you shouldn't kick a man when he's down. I say there's no better time to do it.)
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To: JohnGalt
Perhaps he is catholic.

http://www.catholic-forum.com/saints/saintb3r.htm
32 posted on 11/20/2003 2:42:35 PM PST by Grit (Visit - http://www.NRSC.org - Help get 60 Senators in 2004)
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To: JohnGalt

33 posted on 11/20/2003 2:47:02 PM PST by Grit (Visit - http://www.NRSC.org - Help get 60 Senators in 2004)
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To: Grit
Ledeen wrote a well respected book, perhaps the book, on Italian fascism in the 70s. Indeed, his phrase, and perhaps you have heard it, 'creative destruction' has been lifted from the works of the fascisti.
34 posted on 11/20/2003 4:12:16 PM PST by JohnGalt ("Nothing happened on 9/11 to make the federal government more competent.")
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To: Lurker
Re-read my post.

I suggested you pull a few names and use google, but if you don't care why bother, right?

I mean that Wilsonian utopia project sounds pretty neat.
35 posted on 11/20/2003 4:14:19 PM PST by JohnGalt (Attn Psuedocons: Wilsonianrepublic.com is still available)
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To: dennisw
Read the book as many times as you did, son.

Once.

How many times have you been banned from FR?
36 posted on 11/20/2003 4:16:55 PM PST by JohnGalt (Attn Psuedocons: Wilsonianrepublic.com is still available)
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To: JohnGalt
You must not be much of a reader yourself, if you automatically assumed Mussolini was the first and only person named Benito in the world, and proceeded to accuse the author of being a fascistophile.
37 posted on 11/20/2003 4:19:48 PM PST by wimpycat ("I'm mean, but I make up for it by bein' real healthy.")
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To: JohnGalt
If by utopia you mean helping the Iranians to liberate themselves from a regime of murdering oppressive thugs, then put me down as in favor of utopia.

Nothing would please me more than the Iranian people imposing some Romanian style term limits over there all the while egged on by VOA.

I did read your posts, and all I can discern from them is you have some kind of problem with his email address. I have asked you a couple of times for some kind of substantive critique of what Mr. Ledeen wrote and you haven't been able to come up with one other than hinting at some involvement in 'Iran Contra'.

The article you linked to names him exactly once and doesn't even hint that he did something illegal or unethical.

If you have evidence to the contrary, then post it. Don't expect us to do your heavy lifting for you.

Truth be told, I don't have much problem with what was done during the alleged 'Iran-Contra scandal'. Regean helped knock off some commies in South America who needed knocked off. He didn't mind using some rather unsavory characters to help him. BFD.

If I remember correctly, there wasn't a single conviction in the affair that stood up under appeal.

Now, if you have a problem with what Mr. Ledeen wrote here then by all means point out where exactly you think he's wrong. Just linking to some nutbag at antiwar.com doesn't cut it. Those clowns wouldn't go to war if Al Queda was in their living rooms banging their sisters.

L

38 posted on 11/20/2003 4:49:16 PM PST by Lurker (Some people say you shouldn't kick a man when he's down. I say there's no better time to do it.)
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To: Lurker
Those clowns wouldn't go to war if Al Queda was in their living rooms banging their sisters.

And THEY were the ones that invited them home to meet the family. "Sis, I want you to meet some great guys, real freedom fighters." "Mom, we got any thing halal in the fridge?" "Dad, do you mind if Achmed uses the garage to
do some rewiring on his van?"
39 posted on 11/20/2003 5:04:03 PM PST by tet68 (Tag note, I have not been able to verify the previous Patrick Henry quote so it has been removed.)
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To: freedom44
bttt
40 posted on 11/20/2003 9:50:11 PM PST by Tailgunner Joe
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