I am sure of it. Long before the first public accusation I was telling people he was a pedophile based on his behavior and my expeience working with sexual deviants. When the initial charges came out ten years ago many of my friends thought I was either a genius or a prophet.
His affect, demeanor, lifestyle, and content of conversation is classic pedophile.
As far as allowing children to go on chaperoned outing with Michael, that is how it always starts out. He repeatedly does activities which include a parent and the siblings until he has the complete trust of the family. The sexual approach only occurs after a long period of establishing a close and loving relationship with the entire family.