Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: narses
RE: manufacturing share of GDP has not fallen

I am curious about Gordon R. Richards, NAM, testifying before the Subcommittee on the Census Committee on Government Reform U.S. House of Representatives On The quality of GDP data. Mr. Richards said,

"The redefinition of computer output was a crucial factor in driving the manufacturing revival of the late 1990s. . . Without the quality imputations to the real value of computers, this increase in the manufacturing share [of GDP] would not have been measured."

http://www.bea.doc.gov/bea/about/test-grr.pdf

I am not an expert but I wonder if these changes affected the historic comparisons.

I know that Limbaugh and fill-in host Sullivan both have pointed to manufacturing share of GDP to ask, jobs lost? What jobs lost? This followed an article by Alan Reynolds claiming that manufacturing has remained constant as a share of GDP. None of the gentlemen addressed Mr. Richards' testimony. My e-mail to Sullivan's local show was rejected.

At least your reference to Bruce Bartlett's article acknowledges that jobs have been lost but manufacturing share of GDP has not fallen. One reason may be productivity. To wit,

"When output rises while employment falls, the result is an increase in productivity. And according to the Labor Department, U.S. manufacturing productivity is now higher than in any other major country."

Morgan-Stanley's Stephen S. Roach wonders how much "imported productivity" from overseas cheap labor affects productivity gains here. That's another issue and as I stated I am not an expert and do not want to mis-state Mr. Roach's comments.

119 posted on 11/10/2003 7:10:11 AM PST by WilliamofCarmichael
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies ]


To: WilliamofCarmichael
I know that Limbaugh and fill-in host Sullivan both have pointed to manufacturing share of GDP to ask, jobs lost? What jobs lost? This followed an article by Alan Reynolds claiming that manufacturing has remained constant as a share of GDP. None of the gentlemen addressed Mr. Richards' testimony. My e-mail to Sullivan's local show was rejected.

The mathematics always need to be reviewed on these claims. When one is talking percentages the numbers become fuzzy and using that kind of number to claim a sector is healthy is disingenupus at best. You are of course correct in your questioning.

134 posted on 11/10/2003 8:13:37 AM PST by harpseal (stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 119 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson