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Greenspan Delivers Upbeat Forecast on Economy and Jobs (Democrats being sent to ICU)
Newsmax ^ | 11/6/03

Posted on 11/06/2003 9:34:43 AM PST by areafiftyone

WASHINGTON - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan delivered an upbeat assessment of economic prospects, saying Thursday the odds "increasingly favor" a revival in job growth.

However, he warned about long-term threats posed by the soaring federal budget deficit. If that red ink is not brought under control by the time Baby Boomers start retiring, it could have "notable, destabilizing effects" on prospects for growth in the future, he said.

In the debate over how to fix the deficit problem, Greenspan sided with President Bush and the Republicans, who argue that government spending should be cut to deal with the deficit rather than raising taxes.

On the economy, Greenspan cited a number of favorable recent developments pointing to stronger economic growth and said that even the job market, which has continued to shed jobs this year, seems to be finally turning around.

"The odds ... increasingly favor a revival in job creation," Greenspan said in a speech to the Securities Industry Association. He cited such hopeful signs as the need of businesses to replace inventories, which have dropped to extremely low levels, given the strong buying spree consumers went on during the third quarter.

Low Risk of Inflation

The Federal Reserve has left a key short-term interest rate it controls at a 45-year low of 1 percent. Greenspan repeated on Thursday assurances that the central bank would not feel the need to quickly start raising interests rates at the first signs of economic growth.

Greenspan said that unlike earlier periods of recovery, inflationary pressures were still non-existent. "In these circumstances, monetary policy is able to be more patient," Greenspan said in remarks delivered by satellite to the securities conference in Boca Raton, Fla.

Greenspan noted that consumer inflation was running around 1 percent, such a low level that the central bank still believes that the remote possibility that the country could face a destabilizing bout of deflation, falling prices, outweighs the risks of higher inflation.

Greenspan said the situation was far different from past U.S. history in which, even after recessions, inflation remained at higher levels than the Fed wanted to see.

"As a consequence, with some risk to economic activity, monetary policy typically had to move aggressively in the uncertain early stages of past economic recoveries to ensure that inflation would be contained," Greenspan said.

The Fed chairman said the "relatively optimistic short-term outlook for the U.S. economy" was playing out against a growing concern in financial markets about the surging federal budget deficit.

The Need to Cut Spending

He said it was critical for Congress and the administration to address this problem. He again urged the reinstatement of budget rules that require any future tax increases to be offset by either spending cuts or increases in other taxes. He urged reinstatement of caps on the amount that discretionary government spending could rise in any year.

Greenspan said the nation's budget problems would become even more acute in just five years, when the first wave of Baby Boomers hits the age of 62, the time when about half of prospective Social Security beneficiaries choose to retire early even though it means taking reduced benefits.

The Danger of Democrat Tax Increases

While Democrats have blamed much of the budget woes on Bush's tax cuts, Greenspan cautioned against relying on increased taxes to reduce the deficit.

"Tax increases of sufficient dimension to deal with our looming fiscal problems arguably pose significant risks to economic growth and the revenue base," he said.

Greenspan said that it was difficult to estimate the magnitude of these risks but that they were of enough concern to warrant reducing the budget deficit "primarily, if not wholly, from outlay restraint."


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: bushrecovery; greenspan; jobmarket
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To: RiflemanSharpe
ohhhhhhhhhhhhh .. the poor thang *L*
21 posted on 11/06/2003 9:51:15 AM PST by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: areafiftyone
I thought that you worked in a tall office building.

Maybe we can get escorts to lead the rats to your office window. Signs won't work, since most can't read.
22 posted on 11/06/2003 9:56:51 AM PST by Grampa Dave ("If you don't like change, you're going to like irrelevance even less.")
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To: areafiftyone
Greenspan sided with President Bush and the Republicans, who argue that government spending should be cut to deal with the deficit rather than raising taxes.

Yeah... cut government spending by starting a new "free drugs" benifit that will ballon out of control. That's the ticket...

23 posted on 11/06/2003 10:00:26 AM PST by 69ConvertibleFirebird (Never argue with an idiot. They drag you down to their level, then beat you with experience.)
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To: Mo1; RiflemanSharpe
OK .. what does that mean?

(I think this picture should be the proper response to questions of "what does TDIDS mean?"

24 posted on 11/06/2003 10:00:35 AM PST by William McKinley
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To: areafiftyone
Greenspam's remarks have apparently turned around a slightly negative market to a more positive market:

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/markets/indexes.asp
25 posted on 11/06/2003 10:01:51 AM PST by Grampa Dave ("If you don't like change, you're going to like irrelevance even less.")
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To: Republic Rocker
TAX INCREASES WOULD DESTROY THE RECOVERY!


Not a chance.  They played a recording of Dick Gebhart (on Rush's show) saying that the economy is up because of the Democrat induced tax-cuts!

I kid you not.

26 posted on 11/06/2003 10:02:05 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: Grampa Dave
They can always feel their way - Clinton did! ;-)
27 posted on 11/06/2003 10:04:45 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: William McKinley
OFF TOPIC

But Joe Binden is on the senate floor (C-span2) talking about the money spent in Iraq
28 posted on 11/06/2003 10:07:19 AM PST by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: William McKinley

Ha! Love the TDIDS addition to the FR Dictionary. We will soon have our own language...
29 posted on 11/06/2003 10:09:27 AM PST by kittymyrib
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To: sourcery
Bump ...
30 posted on 11/06/2003 10:11:15 AM PST by Phaedrus
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To: MJY1288
"Didn't Dizzy Dean and a few of the other Nattering Nabobs admit to Marajuana use during their last circle jerk on CNN?"

WELL PUT

31 posted on 11/06/2003 10:13:49 AM PST by Agent Smith
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To: expat_panama
TAX INCREASES WOULD DESTROY THE RECOVERY!

I just love this cartoon.....


32 posted on 11/06/2003 10:25:16 AM PST by Arrowhead1952 (Laura Ingraham and Ann Coulter are living proof that not all blondes are dumb.)
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To: areafiftyone; clamper1797; sarcasm; BrooklynGOP; A. Pole; Zorrito; GiovannaNicoletta; Caipirabob; ..
Ping

On or off let me know
33 posted on 11/06/2003 10:30:18 AM PST by harpseal (stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: Pikamax
I thought the tax cuts were the PROBLEM with the economy (even before they went into effect somehow) because they're causing the budget deficit which is harming the economy. We need a tax INCREASE don't we? Apparently the tax cuts are turning the economy around and are the PROBLEM at the same time.
34 posted on 11/06/2003 10:34:11 AM PST by lasereye
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To: sourcery
whats your ping list for, economic news?
35 posted on 11/06/2003 10:36:13 AM PST by adam_az
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To: harpseal
what's your list for?
36 posted on 11/06/2003 10:38:09 AM PST by adam_az
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To: adam_az
My list is for economic issues without a heavy focus on the stiock market. I try to cover all viewpoints posted on Free Republic regardless of my agreement with the thread for my pings. If something in the article gets me irritated enough I will comment.
37 posted on 11/06/2003 10:42:17 AM PST by harpseal (stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: harpseal
Add me to your list, please.
38 posted on 11/06/2003 10:44:15 AM PST by adam_az
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To: adam_az
sourcery says:

"Do not meddle in
the affairs of Wizards,
for they are subtle,
and quick to anger!"

I have three different ping lists. One for economic/stock market threads, one for threads about political philosophy/Constitutional principles, and one for technical/scientitic news. Would you like to be on one of them?

39 posted on 11/06/2003 10:46:39 AM PST by sourcery ("Don't make me get my Ring!")
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To: sourcery
Humourous if sad to read the clueless posts on the thread.

I do notice that Greenspan rarely lies except by omission. Makes the tealeaf reading easier in a way, but always have to wait "for the other shoe to drop".

The current worldwide and unprecedented "liquidity" expansion appears to have met at least the minimal political goals set for it. Money sure isn't what it used to be!!

40 posted on 11/06/2003 10:51:00 AM PST by Iris7 ( "Duty, Honor, Country". The first of these is Duty, and is known only through His Grace.)
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