The 3-Way Battle for Iran’s Uncertain Future

The Iranian Student Movement Up to the Minute Reports ^ | 6-28-03

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Below is an Opinion from the Daily Star in Lebanon:

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/opinion/26_06_03_a.asp

The 3-Way Battle for Iran’s Uncertain Future

The struggle in Iran is frequently described as one between two camps: reformists gathered around President Mohammad Khatami and hard-liners loyal to the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. These two groups are certainly at each other’s throats, but no analysis of the situation is complete without an appreciation of the role being played by a third force: former President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. The latter’s efforts are deployed behind the scenes these days, but whatever happens in the more public contest, he figures to have a huge say in what follows. At some point, Rafsanjani will have to make a decision. He can profit to some extent by allowing the reformers and the old guard to lose popular support by engaging in never-ending battles, but if the mayhem both political and physical goes on too long, there will be precious few pieces left to pick up.

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