[leadpenny]

I think the "poker" analogy is very interesting.

Also, we still see former director Woolsey as a network (forget which one) analyst. IMO he knows a lot more than he is saying. Clinton ignored him after appointing him to the post. Subsequently, I believe, Woolsey actively worked to get some Republicans elected.

[Thebaddog]

Remember that Tenet was the guy sending in the bombs early in the war that never got Saddam several times. It all about their best guesses which aren't very good.