The changing demographics of Nevada, with a growing suburban population in the Las Vegas and Reno/Carson city area is good news for Republicans. A lots of small businessmen have relocated to NV as well. Reid only won his election 5 years ago by fewer than 500 votes - and he was the incumbent!
I think Thune won the last election! Daschle does not have the advantage of majority leadership this time around. His money sources will not be as likely to fund him to the hilt. Thune, or another Republican, helped by the Republican Senate campaign can take this seat if they make the effort. And a sweet win it would be too.
I'm not on the east coast, so I can't say what the buzz is about Rudy, but if he did run, he would wipe out that pompous a$$ Chuckie. Rudy needs to strike while he holds the advantage. With Rudy and GW Bush on the same ticket, the 'Pubs could even take NY State in 2004!