[JohnnyZ]

What effect would a Millican candidacy have on the 2004 race, assuming it's a close one between Knowles and Murkowski? I doubt he'd get more than 1 or 2 percent, but if it's close . . .

He could eat into Murkowski's conservative/Republican base, or alternatively deny Knowles some anti-Murkowski votes.

[fieldmarshaldj]

It's simply too early to tell. Independents without party label will scarcely get any votes. However, if he chooses to go after the "Alaska Independence Party" nomination or even "Libertarian", he'll get at least 5%, possibly higher.