For quite awhile this one was assumed to be safely in the Democrats' camp. Over the last couple of weeks, though, there's been something of a buzz that it might actually still be in play. I saw Charlie Cook on C-Span earlier this week, and he said something to the effect of:
Due to the drawing of the CA-18 district lines, Cardoza should win this race easily. However, he's run a horrible campaign, and has allowed it to be close. If Monteith wins, he said it would be entirely Cardoza's fault. (If I remember right, Cook commented on this race after someone asked him to remark on whether Bill Simon had run the worst campaign in the country this year. I think Cook thinks it is Cardoza who holds that honor.)
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