This race is for the newly drawn 1st District in Arizona, and is an open seat race. It's been considered a toss-up from the start, and this polling does nothing to dispute that! Democrats hold an 11-point registration edge on Republicans here, but G. W. Bush carried the district by a 50-45 margin over Al Gore.
(I routinely post every poll I can find on the various Governor, Senate and House races around the country. If you'd like to be pinged when I post, please FreepMail me.)
The low name recognition of Cordova is a bad sign.