[Deport Billary]

49% isn't very impressive but it's probably enough to win. Irksome will have to change some minds which were already made up.

[Adder]

That will depend on how effective Bowles message of fear is. Yesterday, he was attempting the "scare seniors ploy" {"Privatize Social Security? Dangerous!"] which may play in the larger towns and cities but not in the country. NC can be a tough place to develope a message because of its diverse populations. But as a basicly moderate conservative state, with a large anti-Clinton faction, Dole should do well. It doesn't look like the residency issue is going to get traction.

[Common Tator]

49% isn't very impressive but it's probably enough to win. Irksome will have to change some minds which were already made up.

Forty nine percent with 16 percent undecided is fantastic. That means Bowles has to win 98 percent of the undecideds to win the election. The most Bowles can hope for is 11 out of 16. A 54 to 46 loss to Dole is the best that Bowles can even hope for. It will end up 56 to 44 for Dole and that is called a huge landslide.

A 14 point lead is an insurmountable obsticle with 7 weeks left. The greatest win in presidential history was Reagan's 16 point win 1n 1984.

Gore dropped out of the race in Ohio in 2000 when Bush had a 7 point lead with 9 percent undecided. Gore the never give up until the Supreme court makes you guy, gave up in Ohio when he was down 7 with 9 undecided.

A 15 point lead with 16 percent undecided is as good as it gets.