[BlackRazor]

This is an open seat race to replace the retiring Tim Roemer (D). Long considered a bellwether toss-up race, this polling confirms that is still the case. Chris Chocola narrowly lost to Roemer in 2000 (52-48), while Jill Long Thompson is a former U.S. House Representative from IN, serving in the early-to-mid 1990's.

[BlackRazor]

FYI

[Torie]

This seat appears to be slipping away. The Pubbie used to have a significant lead. The Dems made this district a bit more Dem than it used to be. It has a slight Dem lean all things being equal.

[conservative_2001]

Chocola: 39% favorable 21% unfavorable 28% neutral 12% don't recognize

Thompson: 36% favorable 14% unfavorable 26% neutral 24% don't recognize

Chocola should be doing better. He's better known and in a district leaning Republican, yet he's in a dead heat.

About the only positive I see here is that the sample is a small 400 voters. Fortunately Chocola and the NRCC are better funded, so this is still one of our best pickup opportunities.