Recent Senate Polls [CO, MO, TN]

Roll Call - At the Races ^ | 8/5/02 | Ben Pershing, C.C.

[Coop]

CO:
Allard - 43%, Strickland - 40%
Jul 27-30, Garin-Hart-Yang for Strickland camp

Allard - 47%, Strickland - 36%
Early July, Ciruli & Associates, independent poll

MO:
Carnahan - 52%, Talent - 41%
Jul 23-25, Garin-Hart-Yang, for Carnahan camp

TN:
Alexander - 51%, Clement - 38%
Jul 30th timeframe, Voter/Consumer Research for NRSC

Also a new poll for Bob Smith's camp shows him leading Sununu 43%-42%, though it has a 6% MOE.

[Coop]

Some updates for the spreadsheet.

[Coop]

Flag

[CPT Clay]

I find the Missouri polls very difficult to beleive.

[Coop]

Yeah, that poll favors the Dem a bit, but unfortunately this poll is close to the two media polls done for this race. In those Carnahan was leading by 6 points in Apr and 8 points in Jul.

The good news is the incumbent has been at 50% or under in every poll, except this Dem poll. Carnahan does have a lot of money, but so does Talent. I saw in the associated article that their warchest are $4.6 mil for the Widder and $3.3 mil for Talent. Keep the faith.

[Coop]

Forgot to ping you.

[KQQL]

@

[KQQL]

Will Da Widow strike again in 2002?

[crasher]

Probably.

[Nancee]

Hi "Coop"

Here's another poll requiring some serious freeping:

"Which of these recent presidents should be added to Mt. Rushmore?

Bill Clinton
George H. W. Bush
Ronald Reagan
Jimmy Carter
Gerald Ford
Richard Nixon
Lyndon Johnson
John F. Kennedy"

Only one question from me: how would YOU like to see them chisel bill clinton's face on Mt. Rushmore?

The poll is here: http://www.worldnet.att.net/

Nancee

[Coop]

Bump

[GraniteStateConservative]

Thanks.

Carnahan - 52%, Talent - 41%

Talent is doing everything he can to win this race. He's putting real resources in his Women for Talent effort. I'm still wondering when Laura will hit the trail for Talent and others-- as they said she would. Rod Paige would go over well, too-- blacks in MO are very receptive to GOP candidates.

[Coop]

Yeah, keep in mind that this poll is a Dem poll, but the media polls do show a small Carnahan lead. But I have no doubt that Talent will have plenty of resources to use to call out her voting record. Unfortunately I think he's going to have the usual "male picking on female" problem when criticizing her, compounded by her widow status. The good news is Dubya is pulling for him in a state Bush carried by about 9 points (if memory serves me correctly). I give an edge to the Widow, but in no way am I writing off Talent.

[GraniteStateConservative]

I give an edge to Jean, too, because she's an incumbent who hasn't done a bad job or broken any laws or been otherwise unethical-- and she has piles of cash. Still, it was only 2 years ago that Talent won over 1.1M votes in the state, and Bush and Ashcroft are more popular now than 2 years ago and that helps all Republicans statewide.

Oh, and Bush only won the state by 4 points.

[Coop]

4 points, huh? That does sound more reasonable for a swing state, plus the voter fraud and late-night polling places. I must have been confusing the votes with some late polling showing Bush/Ashcroft each up about 9-10 points. Thanks for the clarification.

[afuturegovernor]

Also a new poll for Bob Smith's camp shows him leading Sununu 43%-42%, though it has a 6% MOE

Please tell me otherwise, NH is a seat we must keep and I don't think Smith is in any position to do that.

[Coop]

I personally think either one of them can hold the seat (several polls support this assertion), honestly, though Shaheen is in a strong position to do battle. But that one poll I mentioned has a large MOE and was done for the Smith camp. Several other polls show a comfortable Sununu lead.