1 posted on
10/14/2024 5:49:58 AM PDT by
Slingwing
To: Slingwing
The spread is what the house wins. The house always wins.
2 posted on
10/14/2024 5:55:31 AM PDT by
Vermont Lt
(Don’t vote for anyone over 70 years old. Get rid of the geriatric politicians.)
To: Slingwing
Just as the typical gambler in Vegas loses at the roulette wheel I think the average bettor loses on political bets. I'm more inclined to look at the polling firms with the most accurate records and add 1 to 2 points to DJT’s numbers because he's always underestimated in polls.
To: Slingwing
What is surprising is that PredictIt.com, which has always skewed heavily to Kamala, suddenly switched to Trump 2 days ago, 54 to 49.
4 posted on
10/14/2024 6:18:29 AM PDT by
montag813
To: Slingwing
“I suspect there is bias in everything.”
smh
5 posted on
10/14/2024 7:06:40 AM PDT by
logi_cal869
(-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
To: Slingwing
It’s due to the bid-ask spread. It’s not uncommon for those binary “futures” markets for that to happen.
To: Slingwing
That is an arb waiting to happen. It won’t last
To: Slingwing
How do they not get 100%?
9 posted on
10/15/2024 9:35:44 AM PDT by
TBP
(Decent people cannot fathom the amoral creulty of the Biden-Harris regime.)
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