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To: Drango

“Losertarians always looking to drain votes from whoever the GOP nominates.”

It appears the strategy of the anti-trumpets in the GOP, possibly in collusion with the Democrats and Soros, is going to be denying Trump the win in 2020 by running an independent to take away enough moderate GOP votes to shift the popular vote to Dems in close states.

Trump actually lost the popular vote in 2016 and had margins of less than 2% in Ohio and Florida. Demographic shifts mean about 1/3 of the electorate will be non-white in 2020 and the Hispanic vote will exceed the black vote for the first time. Assuming the white vote is about 2 percentage points less, a third party libertarian/moderate Republican siphons 2-5% of the GOP vote in some close states Trump won in 2016 (Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Florida), and the Democrats spend an inordinate amount of money in those states to get out the vote, Trump can lose.

Ralph Nader cost Al Gore the 2000 election in the state of Florida. Had he not been running as a Green Party candidate, most of the Green votes would have gone Democrat and Gore’s vote total would have exceeded George W. Bush.

In a number of state elections in recent years, progressive groups have facilitate the running of a third party candidate for the sole purpose of siphoning votes from the GOP candidate in the general election with considerable success.

Republican women are most vulnerable to the emotional appeal of a moderate candidate. Many think Trump is a bully or worse.


18 posted on 05/21/2019 5:41:44 AM PDT by Soul of the South (The past is gone and cannot be changed. Tomorrow can be a better day if we work on)
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To: Soul of the South

It appears the strategy of the anti-trumpets in the GOP, possibly in collusion with the Democrats and Soros, is going to be denying Trump the win in 2020 by running an independent to take away enough moderate GOP votes to shift the popular vote to Dems in close states.


There is a natural evolution going on here. The patriot and progressive corportist wings of the GOP have diametrically opposed agendas. The GOP can only be the “not Democrats” party for so long until the party naturally splits apart. Never Trumpism has proven the corportist wing of the GOP (Romney, etc.) prefers progressive Democrats to the GOP base voters(us). If they are successful in defeating Trump the blow back will be immense. The Party of Lincoln as we know it will be gone forever.


22 posted on 05/21/2019 5:51:27 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: Soul of the South

Your concern is noted. However, Trump easily won Ohio.


24 posted on 05/21/2019 6:11:11 AM PDT by ohioman
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