[zeestephen]

The math is pretty simple.

From 2016 to 2020....

(1) About 3 million new naturalized citizens. They vote 80% for the Democrat Party.

(2) About 11 million deaths - net loss of at least 1 million Republicans.

(3) About 16 million new voters in the 18-22 year old age group. A majority will be non-white, and they vote 80% Democrat. Young white voters are about 55% Republican.

(4) In Florida, about 1 million felons will have their voting rights restored. Since a majority of them are Black and Hispanic, that is not good news for Trump.

I don't see how Trump wins in 2020.

The Democrats will be 100% focused on voter turn out.

The good news?

If we lose, we can still blame it on voter fraud.

[Blue Jays]

"...I don’t see how [President] Trump wins in 2020..."

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My view is more optimistic as the economy keeps chugging along and people have more money in their pockets.
It is essential we get a handle on legal and illegal immigration for the reasons you suggested. New arrivals are not assimilating.