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To: Impy; LS; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; CedarDave; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief

Dunn should’ve run for reelection as Lands Commissioner. Fortunately, there is a top tier GOP candidate running, the prior holder of the office, Pat Lyons (he has never lost a race and he was the only Republican to win statewide office in 2002 and 2006).

I didn’t check to see if any Senate seats were up, you’re correct that they won’t be held again until 2020. The Dems are overrepresented in that body (and being up only in a Presidential year didn’t help - the GOP lost 3 seats and only flipped 1 Dem seat). The GOP holds 3 Hillary districts and the Dems hold 2 Trump districts in the Senate.

Due to some retirements and vulnerable seats, the Dems were supposedly due to make some gains in the House, though hopefully that doesn’t occur. Of the 70 seats, Trump won just 25 of them and Hillary took 45. Susana Martinez won 51 out of 70 in 2014.

As it stands, Republicans occupy 9 seats that Hillary won (4th, 15th, 20th, 27th, 28th, 29th, 30th, 53rd, 68th), and the GOP incumbents are retiring in the 15th and 30th. The incumbent in the 68th, Monica Youngblood, had a very public DUI, and she has chosen not to step aside. The Dems could conceivably pick up nearly all of them

Conversely, there are two Dem held seats (in rural areas, one in SW Deming and the other in east-central Fort Sumner, AKA “Billy the Kid” territory) that Trump won. The Dem lady in the 32nd (Deming area) barely held on in 2016. The Dem man in the 63rd was unopposed. The GOP is challenging both incumbents, though I imagine the resources will go to protecting the 7 incumbents in the Hillary districts.

If the GOP loses only three House seats overall, that will be a victory for them. If they hold them all, a “smashing” victory. If they actually make gains, that will be a landslide. They’d need a gain of 3 to tie. They lost 5 seats in 2016 (from 37 to 32).


36 posted on 08/20/2018 12:45:51 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj ("It's Slappin' Time !")
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Is this NM?

I’m doing a speaking tour there in September (Alb., Las Cruces, Roswell, Hobbes) on the 10-14th. Maybe that will help :)


37 posted on 08/20/2018 6:20:02 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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