Well, someone printed & distributed those mailers.
I’m thinking it’s a stupidly misguided attempt to scare anti-gun Dems away from Lamb, but instead convinced pro-gun Dems to come out in force. Wouldn’t take many to tip the count.
Republicans can plant friction-causing stories too. They’re just not anywhere near as good at it.
That’s exactly what it was - it was not some conspiracy to elect Lamb - they were trying to do exactly the opposite - it may not have been a wise strategy but that was the strategy. But we can’t let facts and common sense get in the way of a juicy conspiracy theory and excuse to attack a pariah like Paul Ryan even if there isn’t a grain of truth to it.
As far as your analysis, it would depend on which Dem voters it was sent to (geographically) in the district - those closer to Pittsburgh may have been more liberal than just merely registered Dems, but if it was sent district wide to Democrats, that was stupid.