LOL. They would say a cardboard cutout of Elvis is leading Trump.
Actually, at this point, a cardboard cutout of Elvis would be leading Trump.
Good thing the election is not today, eh?
Aside from the immediate aftermath of 9/11, George W. Bush was close to 50% on only two days in his entire life. Election Day 2000 and Election Day 2004.
Presidential Preference three years before the election is irrelevant.