[ThinkingBuddha]

He would only win suburban Republicans.

He will struggle to win that demographic.

[utahagen]

I think you are correct that Kasich would struggle to win even suburban Republicans. Last year, I made a point to note how Trump did in two specific places: the Upper East Side neighborhood of Manhattan and all of the city of Beverly Hills, California. If you believed the hype, you would think Trump would get almost no votes from either place, but I recall at least 30% of voters in both the UES and Beverly Hills went for Trump. Now that Trump has proven he can govern without blowing up the world, his numbers would be even higher.