One would have to believe any polls to answer this question.
Exactly right! We all need to realize we’re being played and develop an immunity to the psycological warfare that is waged via polls. They are tools for rigging the system.
It would be interesting to look at something like meta-polls, if they exist (I’m sure the major political organizations know about them) and notice what are the characteristics of polls that favor Donald vs. those that favor Hillary, and what the influence of those characteristics are.
I believe that old political models aren’t appropriate here. More or less milquetoast figures of past years have given way to a political fight to the death, so to speak. The profile of those who will appear for voting is different now. Factors that might have hurt the more conservative side of the ticket may help it now. We can’t even assume that all or most early voting is going to Democrat efforts.