“Stuff like this is one reason I can’t take any of these polls seriously. There’s no way in hell a 3rd party is getting anywhere near 12% of the vote. They probably won’t even get 2%.”
Here in Minnesota — the state that elected Jesse Ventura — it is absolutely possible for a third party to crack 10%. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Johnson ended up with 15% of the vote — mostly pulling votes from normally reliable Dems that Hillary is counting on. Still probably won’t be enough to flip it to Trump, but it could force Hillary to spend some precious resources here.
“Here in Minnesota — the state that elected Jesse Ventura — it is absolutely possible for a third party to crack 10%.”
Alright, that’s a good point, but I have seen similar numbers even in national polls, so something is not adding up.
My feeling is that most of those polling for Johnson are either staying home or voting Trump in the end and most of those polled for Stein will either vote Clinton or stay home.